ATL: NATE - Post Tropical - Discussion

[pcolaman]

Possibly land friction?

[Dean4Storms]

That was a NW to SE pass so I wouldn't expect the strongest winds found there.

they already went through the strongest part.. it is maybe 75mph right now..

Good, glad to see Nate on the weakening trend. We don't need any more hurricane damage in this country!

[ronjon]

Gee will New Orleans even get a shower out of Nate? Radar definitely showing the storm is nearly dry on its west side and appears to be moving N-NE now.

[artist]

Gee will New Orleans even get a shower out of Nate? Radar definitely showing the storm is nearly dry on its west side and appears to be moving N-NE now.

Lot's of rain headed into New Orleans

[artist]

000
UZNT13 KWBC 072231
XXAA 57221 99264 70873 08167 99005 28222 18029 00045 27821 18033
92733 22619 19043 85468 18616 20047 70117 11212 20042 50584 03320
21530 40758 12328 22532 30973 26741 20522 25101 37146 22517 20251
50950 23520 15432 677// 25512 88999 77999
31313 09608 82201
61616 NOAA9 WE16A NATE OB 26
62626 MBL WND 18034 AEV 33460 LAST REPORT DLM WND 20534 004147 WL
150 18034 080 REL 2644N08730W 220113 SPG 2657N08723W 221705 =
XXBB 57228 99264 70873 08167 00005 28222 11850 18616 22683 10612
33674 08835 44662 08858 55652 07436 66634 06657 77579 00027 88488
03920 99403 11928 11337 20535 22287 29143 33239 39748 44191 53556
55147 689//
21212 00005 18029 11991 18036 22963 17533 33924 19043 44850 20047
55667 20039 66636 18046 77592 19053 88532 19045 99501 21530 11422
23033 22301 20523 33267 22518 44204 22521 55194 24522 66180 23517
77154 25519 88147 25506
31313 09608 82201
61616 NOAA9 WE16A NATE OB 26
62626 MBL WND 18034 AEV 33460 LAST REPORT DLM WND 20534 004147 WL
150 18034 080 REL 2644N08730W 220113 SPG 2657N08723W 221705 =

[NDG]

Gee will New Orleans even get a shower out of Nate? Radar definitely showing the storm is nearly dry on its west side and appears to be moving N-NE now.

They already had a squall move through earlier this afternoon/morning. It was more of an outflow type squall, which was a good sign that the convection was going to die out.

[tropicwatch]

Might make landfall closer to Mobile.

[Stormcenter]

Not sure if that east movement it really happening or an illusion from the building convection

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-07-48-1

[Andrew92]

That was a NW to SE pass so I wouldn't expect the strongest winds found there.

I agree with this. Although the trend looks encouraging, I am more intrigued to know what the NE quad looks like. 60 knots in this pass might support weakening, but I have a hunch this isn't the strongest wind in the storm. This should still be treated like a decent hurricane, in my opinion.

-Andrew92

[wxman57]

Nate is clearly struggling this evening.

[bella_may]

https://twitter.com/michaelwhitewx/stat ... 2398090241

[Aric Dunn]

Going to miss LA now.. no landfall. moving NNE now..

[ColdFusion]

Gee will New Orleans even get a shower out of Nate? Radar definitely showing the storm is nearly dry on its west side and appears to be moving N-NE now.

Lot's of rain headed into New Orleans

Someday, but not from this system.

[Orlando]

Nate is clearly struggling this evening.

Wonderful news! Hoping there will not be any damage or loss of life.

[PTPatrick]

As this increasingly becomes half a hurricane, The center is likely going to be difficult to call thru landfall because it'll be open. As most of the models show, it's going to be lopsidedv. The convective eastern eyewall that starts to spread out will matter more than the center. That is likely to be located primarily east of Gulfport when it's all said and done

[Dean4Storms]

Wow, this does appear to already be moving a hair east of due north.

[Aric Dunn]

Still see nothing more that at best 75 mph from radar or recon

[artist]

URNT15 KNHC 072246
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 27 20171007
223600 2738N 08805W 8431 01515 //// +159 //// 206040 043 037 002 05
223630 2737N 08804W 8426 01523 //// +159 //// 200040 041 032 002 01
223700 2736N 08803W 8424 01526 //// +162 //// 197042 043 031 003 01
223730 2735N 08802W 8421 01529 0040 +169 //// 201043 043 037 005 01
223800 2734N 08800W 8421 01530 0051 +175 +175 198043 046 037 007 00
223830 2733N 08759W 8435 01512 0055 +169 +169 192044 046 040 014 00
223900 2732N 08758W 8438 01508 0064 +155 +155 188045 046 040 014 00
223930 2731N 08757W 8422 01527 0064 +148 +148 187046 046 039 018 00
224000 2730N 08756W 8423 01528 0064 +152 +152 189046 046 038 014 00
224030 2729N 08755W 8425 01528 0055 +160 +160 190046 046 039 009 00
224100 2728N 08753W 8425 01530 0059 +161 +161 191045 046 039 007 00
224130 2727N 08752W 8424 01533 //// +169 //// 192046 046 039 004 01
224200 2726N 08751W 8428 01528 //// +171 //// 190044 045 037 003 01
224230 2725N 08750W 8423 01532 //// +175 //// 189047 048 038 002 01
224300 2724N 08749W 8425 01532 0041 +180 +160 185050 051 040 002 00
224330 2723N 08748W 8424 01534 0042 +178 +160 187049 050 039 003 00
224400 2722N 08747W 8422 01535 0041 +181 +153 188051 052 040 002 00
224430 2721N 08745W 8422 01535 0041 +187 +124 185051 052 039 003 00
224500 2720N 08744W 8429 01529 0042 +185 +130 188051 051 040 002 00
224530 2719N 08743W 8426 01533 0046 +179 +149 189051 052 036 003 03

[artist]

URNT15 KNHC 072256
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 28 20171007
224600 2719N 08742W 8421 01544 0050 +179 +151 189053 054 /// /// 03
224630 2721N 08741W 8423 01540 0047 +182 +143 185053 054 /// /// 03
224700 2723N 08741W 8429 01531 0044 +184 +137 184053 054 039 003 03
224730 2725N 08741W 8422 01537 0042 +187 +128 185055 056 040 002 00
224800 2727N 08741W 8422 01536 0041 +187 +126 185056 057 041 002 00
224830 2729N 08741W 8425 01532 0043 +183 +138 182057 058 041 001 00
224900 2731N 08740W 8424 01533 0046 +176 +153 184057 058 037 003 00
224930 2733N 08740W 8424 01535 0047 +175 +157 182056 057 036 003 00
225000 2735N 08740W 8425 01532 0046 +175 +155 182059 060 033 004 00
225030 2738N 08740W 8424 01533 //// +166 //// 181055 059 036 003 01
225100 2740N 08739W 8424 01532 0046 +171 +164 180053 054 032 003 00
225130 2742N 08739W 8422 01534 0045 +174 +159 181052 053 032 002 00
225200 2744N 08739W 8425 01533 0046 +171 +164 184054 054 033 002 00
225230 2746N 08739W 8424 01533 0048 +170 +163 184054 054 031 004 03
225300 2748N 08739W 8425 01532 0046 +171 +162 183056 056 031 005 00
225330 2750N 08738W 8427 01529 0055 +167 +166 183056 056 031 008 00
225400 2752N 08738W 8425 01530 0054 +161 +161 185054 055 032 007 00
225430 2754N 08738W 8425 01527 0058 +158 +158 183056 057 033 010 00
225500 2757N 08738W 8419 01535 0062 +161 +161 183057 058 036 008 00
225530 2759N 08737W 8427 01526 0070 +149 +149 184060 061 037 013 00

[bella_may]

Winds really picking up here... power is flickering