ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

[galaxy401]

Another day, another non-tropical low forms in the mid-Atlantic.

[Alyono]

starting to organize now. May not be that far from getting a name

[Dean_175]

Could we hit 19 storms this year? Still kind of a long shot- but looking more and more possible. I was thinking Phillippe may have been the last storm, then came Rina.

[HurricaneRyan]

Come on Sean. Bring on that small amount of ACE

[Dean_175]

Come on Sean. Bring on that small amount of ACE

If Sean is subtropical- it won't bring any ACE.

[EquusStorm]

It actually seems as though they may have started counting subtropical storm ACE in the last three or four years, there was a mention of policy change on that but I can't recall where it was sourced. Not that most subtropical systems are strong enough to count much at all in the ACE total.

In other news, the Invest floater page on the SSD site appears a bit broken as images can't be accessed. Hope they fix that if this becomes a named storm.

[wxman57]

This is clearly a frontal low. It would need to detach from the front in order to have a shot at being classified. I don't think it'll make it.

[Dean_175]

This is clearly a frontal low. It would need to detach from the front in order to have a shot at being classified. I don't think it'll make it.

Yes, but most subtropical storms form from occluded frontal lows. But yeah, it will need to detach and then organize more with convection wrapping around the center. It still looks closer to fully frontal than a system that is transitioning to subtropical- and has not changed much in the past day or so. Convection is having a hard time developing west or south of the center.