Texas Winter 2017-2018

[Ralph's Weather]

12Z GFS ensemble keeps N TX in the mid 40s or lower starting Wednesday morning through the end of the run and it has some chance of precip throughout that time period.

[Ntxw]

Wxman57's no power here this winter. He already promised cold and snow this year, done, complete, final, tree topper

[Brent]

[Tireman4]

Wxman57's no power here this winter. He already promised cold and snow this year, done, complete, final, tree topper

Well, you are our long range guy..you can overrule him!!

[EnnisTx]

Wxman57's no power here this winter. He already promised cold and snow this year, done, complete, final, tree topper

To the pit of misery with him! Dilly.....Dilly......

[EnnisTx]

Wxman57's no power here this winter. He already promised cold and snow this year, done, complete, final, tree topper

To the pit of misery with him! Dilly.....Dilly......

Maybe that should be Chilly.....Chilly......

[bubba hotep]

12z EPS shows no signs of relaxing the up coming pattern and is still going strong at D15. We just need a disturbance to time up right for some winter wx.

[Ralph's Weather]

18Z GFS is a hybrid of yesterday and today's runs for the middle of next week. It has a weak SW low, enough cause precip for NM and TX next Wed. At face value, it shows a borderline rain/snow mix for the northern half of Texas. At least there is not much debate as to whether it will get cold and stay that way.

[Texas Snowman]

Can you imagine what the Texas Winter Weather topic would have been like if S2K Had been around in December 1983?

[Brent]

Can you imagine what the Texas Winter Weather topic would have been like if S2K Had been around in December 1983?

Maybe some day we'll find out lol

end of the GFS has the big 384 hour storm again

[Cpv17]

18z GFS has a huge artic outbreak at the end of its run along with a huge storm system coming out the southwest. At least it’s a good sign.

[EnnisTx]

Can you imagine what the Texas Winter Weather topic would have been like if S2K Had been around in December 1983?

Maybe some day we'll find out lol

end of the GFS has the big 384 hour storm again

That would be awesome, let's hope it gives us a big surprise.

[wxman57]

Wxman57's no power here this winter. He already promised cold and snow this year, done, complete, final, tree topper

Correct - this winter will be colder than last winter, and there will be at least one snow event for the DFW area, possibly south to Waco. Hard to get snow down to Houston, though. Of course, you'll all have to pay for this next spring/summer...

[Brent]

Wxman57's no power here this winter. He already promised cold and snow this year, done, complete, final, tree topper

Correct - this winter will be colder than last winter, and there will be at least one snow event for the DFW area, possibly south to Waco. Hard to get snow down to Houston, though. Of course, you'll all have to pay for this next spring/summer...

I took a screenshot of this lol

[iorange55]

Can you imagine what the Texas Winter Weather topic would have been like if S2K Had been around in December 1983?

Well, it was here for the 12 inches back in 2010! That was truly a magical day. I've never seen so much snow. The streets were covered, couldn't tell where the sidewalks were, thunder was shaking the house as the snow fell.

I miss it.

[Brent]

Can you imagine what the Texas Winter Weather topic would have been like if S2K Had been around in December 1983?

Well, it was here for the 12 inches back in 2010! That was truly a magical day. I've never seen so much snow. The streets were covered, couldn't tell where the sidewalks were, thunder was shaking the house as the snow fell.

I miss it.

sometimes I go back and read... and some days when there's no end in sight to the heat I wonder how it ever happened in Dallas lol

[Tireman4]

Can you imagine what the Texas Winter Weather topic would have been like if S2K Had been around in December 1983?

Or Febrauary 1895!

[Ntxw]

Bubba Hotep has it right I think mentioning this pattern being prolonged. The ridge is retrograding out west, not progressing east like past years. Progressive ridges brings out warmth with them, this is going to send shot after shot of cold, that will track west with time. Snow and ice is luck and timing, but for an ensembles mean is quite impressive. I still don't expect yet the OP guidance to have true grasp of the magnitude of cold coming. Thinking we skip just a freeze and go to hard freeze, possibly highs in the 30s and 40s. Past patterns have yielded such in dark times (nearing winter solstice)





I don't see any reason the cold won't be pushed due south from the big cold surface highs.



Make no doubt about it, the pattern is -EPO tank. I dare not say the M word. We saw this pattern about twice or so last winter. A lot in 2013/2014

[aggiecutter]

This pattern reminds me of December of 2000. I would put the chances at >70% that the I-30 corridor receives multiple significant winter weather events during the month.

NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

[Ntxw]

This pattern reminds me of December of 2000. I would put the chances at >70% that the I-30 corridor receives multiple significant winter weather events during the month.

NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

2000-2001 has been in the analog bunch and works well. It's one of the few multiple leg Ninas with early blocking. 2010-2011 was the other.