Texas Winter 2017-2018

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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#481 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:50 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:Above freezing at DFW Friday morning on this run

The thing that’s just weird to me is I don’t ever recall so many dense cold air masses want to move east and southeast like this in December. I mean dang, some places are staying 5 or 10 degrees colder for the whole entire run it seems. What’s it going to take for one of these artic blasts to move into our area? It’s so frustrating!!


Well next weekend is colder this run now, lol in the 30s next Sunday morning

but I agree I'm very irritated. We sit through months of heat, get our hopes about some pattern for cold, and now struggle to get real cold

and I'm concerned this will be last like winter where we torch later in the winter so its like now's the time

This whole last couple of months the extent of the warmth has just surprised me that it happened again this year

then I even had a gut feeling earlier in the week the cold would be east, should have stuck with it
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#482 Postby TXdaddy217 » Sat Dec 02, 2017 3:55 am

Wow... I know it's been a while since I have been on, but am I really seeing wxman57 turning to the dark side, or should I say the cold side. :cold:

May the force of the Christmas Eve 2009 blizzard be with us this year. :froze: :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#483 Postby JDawg512 » Sat Dec 02, 2017 5:33 am

Rain chances drop off after Tuesday per latest EWX forecast discussion. Not happy about it but not unexpected either.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#484 Postby hriverajr » Sat Dec 02, 2017 9:03 am

12Z GFS is just terrible if you want real winter in Texas..... Fairly good cold front Tue morning.. but still compared to promise earlier, underwhelming.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#485 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Dec 02, 2017 9:54 am

Predicted high temps have really gone up the three days before the front arrives, and even then temps don't to be as cold after the front either. Today and Monday look to be near 80!!! Man, I thought we were finishes with 80's. Only a dream I guess. The new normal for DFW winters. No full fledged arctic blasts but at least we should be 50's-30's for a few days. That will feel nice. The pattern looked great and still does for colder weather but the east/southeast appear to be the winners this time around.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#486 Postby starsfan65 » Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:28 am

gpsnowman wrote:Predicted high temps have really gone up the three days before the front arrives, and even then temps don't to be as cold after the front either. Today and Monday look to be near 80!!! Man, I thought we were finishes with 80's. Only a dream I guess. The new normal for DFW winters. No full fledged arctic blasts but at least we should be 50's-30's for a few days. That will feel nice. The pattern looked great and still does for colder weather but the east/southeast appear to be the winners this time around.
It will change.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#487 Postby Cheyenne ridge » Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:06 am

It's not just Texas suffering.This pattern gave us a snowless November here in Cheyenne Wyoming, and a high in the mid 70's just last week!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#488 Postby Tejas89 » Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:41 am

Fairbanks, AK looks quite warm on their 7-day.. high above freezing later in the forecast.

Nothing to source from if you're looking for anything extraordinary, for at least the first half of December.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#489 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:48 am

New normal to have fewer freezes?

GFS went from such promise to winter cancel
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#490 Postby starsfan65 » Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:49 am

Brent wrote:New normal to have fewer freezes?

GFS went from such promise to winter cancel

Never give up on winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#491 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:03 pm

Tejas89 wrote:Fairbanks, AK looks quite warm on their 7-day.. high above freezing later in the forecast.

Nothing to source from if you're looking for anything extraordinary, for at least the first half of December.


Alaska is experiencing an abnormally warm stretch. The North Pacific NPO (-EPO) ridge the past 30 days has brought higher heights and warmth from the Ocean northward (Nina ridge). The colder air is to the east of them in NW Canada
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#492 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:02 pm

Sad. Above average seems to be the new norm.
Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#493 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:07 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:Sad. Above average seems to be the new norm.


El Nino, La Nina, everything has been warm now...

wonder if some places will just stop having freezes south of here in the winter seriously.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#494 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Dec 02, 2017 3:49 pm

Euro has DFW back over 0.5" of rain with this next system. Hopefully, we can hold on to that lol
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#495 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 02, 2017 5:01 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Euro has DFW back over 0.5" of rain with this next system. Hopefully, we can hold on to that lol


NAM has a fast moving solid but thin line around midnight Monday night. Looks like a quarter inch or so most areas
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#496 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Dec 02, 2017 5:05 pm

Brent wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Sad. Above average seems to be the new norm.


El Nino, La Nina, everything has been warm now...

wonder if some places will just stop having freezes south of here in the winter seriously.

I know it’s part of human nature to get your hopes up about some cold weather coming with all the hype there was so therefore this is a lot easier saying it than actually doing it, but I’m personally going to try my hardest not to get my hopes up anymore unless there’s a unanimous consensus agreement that it’s actually going to happen within 3 or 4 days. Then yeah, I’ll have my hopes up, but all this hype about something that’s a week or two away and then ends up never happening is too frustrating. Not good for my health lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#497 Postby gboudx » Sat Dec 02, 2017 5:31 pm

Cpv17 wrote: it’s actually going to happen within 3 or 4 days. Then yeah, I’ll have my hopes up, but all this hype about something that’s a week or two away and then ends up never happening is too frustrating. Not good for my health lol


For me it’s 1-2 days, and even then I don’t completely buy in until it’s falling from the sky. I’ve seen too many sleet and snow events be a cold rain due to some unforeseen warm layer.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#498 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 02, 2017 6:27 pm

DFW doesnt go below 38 on the gfs

Im done lol maybe winter will exist in Chicago next month when I'm there :roll:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#499 Postby starsfan65 » Sat Dec 02, 2017 6:29 pm

Brent wrote:DFW doesnt go below 38 on the gfs

Im done lol maybe winter will exist in Chicago next month when I'm there :roll:
Are you sure?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#500 Postby Portastorm » Sat Dec 02, 2017 6:33 pm

I'm seeing more cliff diving here than they've ever seen in Acapulco! C'mon guys ... it's only December 2nd and you're ready to give up on winter. Sheesh. :roll:

We can all rest in the comfort of the words offered by wxman57: cold and snow and ice in Texas this winter.

Keep the faith!
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