Texas Winter 2017-2018

[Brent]

Winter cancel

Maybe thats what the thread needs remember last week

[starsfan65]

Winter cancel

Maybe thats what the thread needs remember last week

what happened last week?

[orangeblood]

Op Definite outlier , GFS ENS going towards extreme solutions on the cold next weekend- trough centered across Rockies

[Brent]

Winter cancel

Maybe thats what the thread needs remember last week

what happened last week?

Some of us cancelled winter over the gfs then too then it snowed in austin and got cold here

[starsfan65]

Maybe thats what the thread needs remember last week

what happened last week?

Some of us cancelled winter then it snowed in austin and got cold here

Now I remember!!

[Rgv20]

0Z GFS Ensembles 500mb chart stays consistent. Looks like the operational run was an outlier. Winter is coming. ....

[Ntxw]

Op Definite outlier , GFS ENS going towards extreme solutions on the cold next weekend- trough centered across Rockies

Yeah the GEFS held course, and is in line with everything else . But it's not like the GFS suddenly just went fast. It did it just a couple of runs ago before, then reverted back.

[TheProfessor]

Made it back home. Glad to be on break after a stressful semester. I know a lot of you want this storm but count me out. I don't want an inch of freezing rain or even a multi inch sleet event(2013 really leaves a bad taste). I had to walk on ice this morning after some WAA shenanigans in Ohio, turned all the snow into an ice rink. Not fun.

[Brent]

Euro looks very similar to its last run and further SW with the trough than the 0z GFS at 168

Fropa in DFW Thursday evening

Much colder than the GFS Friday morning with a freeze at DFW. Temperatures struggle to get out of the 30s Friday.

and we have a cutoff low over the SW again but it doesn't go anywhere

some light precip in Austin near freezing and Houston with temps in the mid/upper 30s on December 23rd

Trough lifts out and Dallas is well into the 50s on Christmas Eve on the Euro

[Cpv17]

06z GFS says winter is back on again lol

[Ralph's Weather]

06Z GFS back to expected trough config for initial blast with trough extending into the SW.

[Wntrwthrguy]

Haven’t posted in a while but certainly enjoyed the snow in the Austin area last week.

I am not experienced at all with looking at model data or how to interpret it. However, is it too early to be looking at the skew t charts? In looking at the previous GFS runs compared to the most recent 06z GFS run, the warm nose looks to be gone. Again, just my amateur interpretation.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Everyone gets in on the fun in the 6z

H Tine miracle part deux would be nice

[Yukon Cornelius]

Picked up another freeze. With a forecasted low of 32, it dropped to 28 with a light frost.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Picked up another freeze. With a forecasted low of 32, it dropped to 28 with a light frost.

You live in the absolute best part of Texas for Winter lovers. If all goes as planned for me in the next 12-18 months, i will be living in Bozeman, MT and can be you guys satellite bellwether for Arctic fronts.

Houston has afforded me a lot of opportunity, but I’m ready to leave.

[srainhoutx]

We have an active and very progressive weather pattern setting up over the next week and likely beyond as folks start the Christmas Holiday period along with many with travel plans. Radar shows a lot of activity over the Gulf this morning associated with our noisy sub tropical jet and embedded disturbances riding out of the Eastern Pacific across Mexico and over Texas. Currently any rainfall is offshore and what we see inland is virga as the first 10,000 ft is very dry, but changes begin tonight into tomorrow as a Coastal Low organizes near Brownsville and moves NE toward the Upper Texas Coast tomorrow night into Saturday. There is still some uncertainty regarding the severe threat, but there are some indications that severe storms may be possible with even a chance at some rotation and possibly a quick spin up of a tornado or two mainly near where the Coastal Low tracks close to the Coast and possibly inland depending on where the warm frontal boundary establishes.

Yet another disturbance is poised to cross our Region Monday into late Tuesday/early Wednesday bring another chance of rainfall.

Currently it looks like a strong cold front arrives Thursday night/early Friday morning possibly bringing a round of potential severe weather. Late next weeks front will likely bring the first shot of multiple Polar Cold Fronts that look to pass during the Christmas Holiday Period. I am not going to attempt to predicted what our sensible weather may bring beyond Sunday. There is way too much volatility in the forecast to offer any reasonable thoughts other than it looks chilly and raw into the extended range and possibly into the end of 2017.

[Ralph's Weather]

A hole in the cloud cover formed over Lindale allowing us to drop to 30.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Picked up another freeze. With a forecasted low of 32, it dropped to 28 with a light frost.

You live in the absolute best part of Texas for Winter lovers. If all goes as planned for me in the next 12-18 months, i will be living in Bozeman, MT and can be you guys satellite bellwether for Arctic fronts.

Houston has afforded me a lot of opportunity, but I’m ready to leave.

Lucky! I absolutely love Montana, especially the Bozeman area. Good luck!

[Cheyenne ridge]

Picked up another freeze. With a forecasted low of 32, it dropped to 28 with a light frost.

You live in the absolute best part of Texas for Winter lovers. If all goes as planned for me in the next 12-18 months, i will be living in Bozeman, MT and can be you guys satellite bellwether for Arctic fronts.

Houston has afforded me a lot of opportunity, but I’m ready to leave.

Great town to live in.When I left Houston in the fall of 2011,I lived in Belgrade for a year and enjoyed it before moving back home to Cheyenne.

[orangeblood]

If you our a winter weather enthusiast residing in the southern plains, I don't think you can ask for a much better looking synoptic setup than what the Euro ENS Mean depicts for next weekend...numerous members on both the Euro and GFS ENS showing a very potent winter storm impacting Texas next weekend. As has been repeated numerous times, still way too early to know exact details (or that a storm is certain) but I don't believe you can have a better forecast map (if you're looking for a southern plains winter storm) from King Euro at this point.