Texas Winter 2017-2018

[wxman57]

Wasn't the GFS "Upgraded" not too long ago?

Yes, it's now excellent at predicting warm fronts near the south pole on July 4th, when it's a Wednesday. Otherwise, it is worse.

[Brent]

Only 2 weeks out, not that long

http://i67.tinypic.com/rad9q1.png

I'm quite sure that snow storm for the DFW area on the 5th of January will happen. Something is definitely making the GFS act very strangely of late. I don't think I've ever seen it perform so poorly.

Even FWD picked up on that this morning

It is pretty sad how terrible its been

Dont forget it totally blew the rain event Tuesday here too so its not just cold and snow...

[Texas Snowman]

So I'm just a little curious, when does this weekend's "disruptive" weather event begin?

[bubba hotep]

The 12z Euro control run has a N. Texas snow storm in the longer range and now the 18z GFS & GEFS are back in the game. Time is running out for N. Texas to cash in on winter wx system. If the MJO rolls around to 2/3, like the models are showing, then we will probably see even warmer temps up in WCAN but there should be more of a western mean trough. That probably means more cold rains unless we can time something up just perfectly.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Pretty decent on and off pure snow here.

[bubba hotep]

Pretty decent on and off pure snow here.

We need pics! lol

[Brent]

GFS has lots more cold rain coming Wednesday Thursday with more wintry wx in Oklahoma

CMC has ice in DFW Thursday

[Ntxw]

GFS has lots more cold rain coming Wednesday Thursday with more wintry wx in Oklahoma

Looks like the 0z GFS brought back (or further south again) week end's storm

[OKMet83]

00z GFS showing Frz rain for N Texas 150 hrs out Thu into Fri

[Brent]

GFS trying to changeover to ice and snow in DFW Friday morning

Snowing Friday afternoon in DFW

[Ntxw]

Much different at 500mb from 12z to 0z

[Brent]

[bubba hotep]

I'm all in!

[OKMet83]

We don’t need a sexy ice or snow storm this far out it seems like 9 Times out of 10 those will bust lol.. At least the trend is there! Remember guys and gals with a little perfect timing we could still squeeze out something big imo before the New year!

[Brent]

I'm all in!

Me too.

Shame the GFS has been so all over the place

[stormlover2013]

Lol poor gfs

[Ntxw]

We don’t need a sexy ice or snow storm this far out it seems like 9 Times out of 10 those will bust lol.. At least the trend is there! Remember guys and gals with a little perfect timing we could still squeeze out something big imo before the New year!

It'll be back in Kansas next run

Hey at least you got the Canadian on board! Canadian nailed today's event for awhile . first to go neutral-neg tilt.

[Brent]

now the GFS keeps DFW near/below freezing for a couple days again

[Ntxw]

Least the GFS says we don't get much above 50 the next week. Which quietly kills the post Christmas torch from a few days ago.

[losf1981]

Snowing in Wichita Falls!