Texas Winter 2017-2018

[bubba hotep]

Of course the 12z GFS has a winter storm in the long range... However, we can't get any of these disturbances to dig into the SW in the near term.

[Cpv17]

Of course the 12z GFS has a winter storm in the long range... However, we can't get any of these disturbances to dig into the SW in the near term.

We can work on the moisture part later. Have to get the cold first before we could get some winter precip. I’m just glad the GFS is back on showing the cold front coming through around New Years. Now we need the Euro to show it.

[stormlover2013]

Gfs has had about 5 winter storms in the last 2 weeks lll

[robru]

I have followed this board since the early 2000's. As my first post on this forum, I wanted to take the time to thank you all for a fourteen-year educational weather ride. I have gained an enormous amount of knowledge but consider myself as not having learned enough yet. I wish you all a Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

[Ntxw]

Of course the 12z GFS has a winter storm in the long range... However, we can't get any of these disturbances to dig into the SW in the near term.

We can work on the moisture part later. Have to get the cold first before we could get some winter precip. I’m just glad the GFS is back on showing the cold front coming through around New Years. Now we need the Euro to show it.

Its cold now and pretty chilly week ahead. Climo is favorable thru early Jan. Cold fronts have more umph and longwave pattern can produce. We just need something to dig in the west, cold air has been there just no luck timing storms. Don't think we will be torching anytime soon.

[Theepicman116]

GFS keeps pushing back the snow. Y'all know what that means, it won't snow. Sigh

[Cpv17]

Of course the 12z GFS has a winter storm in the long range... However, we can't get any of these disturbances to dig into the SW in the near term.

We can work on the moisture part later. Have to get the cold first before we could get some winter precip. I’m just glad the GFS is back on showing the cold front coming through around New Years. Now we need the Euro to show it.

Its cold now and pretty chilly week ahead. Climo is favorable thru early Jan. Cold fronts have more umph and longwave pattern can produce. We just need something to dig in the west, cold air has been there just no luck timing storms. Don't think we will be torching anytime soon.

Well the GFS does show a warmup into the 60’s and 70’s in SE TX ahead of the New Years front.

[Cpv17]

1053 MB high showing up on the Euro at hour 120 in NW Canada. Not bad for the Euro.

[Brent]

Hey at least its not 80 on Christmas again with a tornado outbreak forecast...

I do wish this pattern would produce though yeah i didnt really want a crippling ice storm but still

[Cpv17]

Huge artic outbreak showing up on the Euro for eastern 2/3 of nation as we end the year. 1057MB high at hour 144 in SE Montana.

[Ntxw]

Euro went to the GFS on the colder side for new year's weekend. Not as flat as previous runs with cold staying to the north

[stormlover2013]

Still longs way out !!! Won’t know till Thursday

[Brent]

DFW stays below freezing NYE on the euro starting the day at 20

[Ntxw]

DFW stays below freezing NYE on the euro starting the day at 20

GFS had a high for NY of 26

[bubba hotep]

Euro went to the GFS on the colder side for new year's weekend. Not as flat as previous runs with cold staying to the north

The Euro keeps flipping b/w more amped up and more zonal solutions. On the 12z, shift the center of the western ridge west and Texas would get the full force of that dump. Like you said above, even without a major dump we are in a pretty cold stretch as even the more zonal NWish flow keeps most of Texas from torching.

[aggiecutter]

It really is just a matter of time before the weather paradigm shifts in our favor:

[Brent]

Models underestimated the cold again? I remember the forecast being for DFW to barely freeze tonight and now the forecast is 25!

[EnnisTx]

Alright, we'll have to keep an eye on August 6 2018 then.

99 bottles of beer on the wall, 99 bottles of beer....... oh wait....... man I'm bored......

Was your profile pic from last year? Lol

[Cpv17]

Models underestimated the cold again? I remember the forecast being for DFW to barely freeze tonight and now the forecast is 25!

Happens all the time man

[Brent]

Models underestimated the cold again? I remember the forecast being for DFW to barely freeze tonight and now the forecast is 25!

Happens all the time man

I know its just funny

18z GFS trying to break out frozen precip next Saturday along the Red River

Ice storm in Central and South Texas New Years day