Texas Winter 2017-2018

Winter Weather Discussion

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3381 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Dec 25, 2017 10:30 pm

Sounds like things are getting interesting with precip and cold for the next week plus. I will have to get back into the models after a boliday hiatus.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3382 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:00 pm

Nam is interesting for y’all in north Texas no doubt about it
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3383 Postby Ntxw » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:06 pm

0z GFS is going to be another very cold run. 1054mb descending and even a little further west than earlier runs. -30s in Montana
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3384 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:09 pm

GFS has DFW at 60 Saturday Night before the bottom drops out...

by Sunday afternoon DFW Is at 25 with frozen precip breaking out to the NE/E
Last edited by Brent on Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:11 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3385 Postby Ntxw » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:10 pm

1061mb Montana/ND.

Just a few millibars shy of the record 1064mb
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3386 Postby Ntxw » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:14 pm

This run might try to push single digits in parts of N Texas
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3387 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:14 pm

CMC has an ice storm New Years Eve into New Years Day especially north and NE of DFW but very close in the metroplex

GFS has DFW at 15 degrees when 2018 hits :eek:
Last edited by Brent on Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3388 Postby JayDT » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:15 pm

1063mb over Nebraska :double:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3389 Postby Ntxw » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:16 pm

Wow :eek:

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3390 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:16 pm

Not much in the way of frozen precip this run on the GFS. Baja energy looks much weaker.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3391 Postby JayDT » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:18 pm

Ntxw wrote:Wow :eek:

Image


Holy :eek: :double: :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3392 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:18 pm

DFW 9 degrees Monday morning!!!!

only at 13 degrees mid afternoon

:froze: :cold: :froze: :cold: :eek:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3393 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:21 pm

Yeah, thats a pipe busting run there. Goodness.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3394 Postby Ntxw » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:22 pm

So pick your poison, pipe busting cold GFS or icy Canadian (strangely less of the vodka on that one) :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3395 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:23 pm

would be a top 5 coldest high on record to start 2018 :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3396 Postby JayDT » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:23 pm

1050mb over North Texas
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3397 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:23 pm

I hope the 0z GFS is wrong with those cold temperatures. That would likely be a damaging arctic outbreak.

Thankfully it's on it's own right now. 0z Canadian doesn't show extreme cold. 20s-30s.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3398 Postby Ntxw » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:25 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:I hope the 0z GFS is wrong with those cold temperatures. That would likely be a damaging arctic outbreak.

Thankfully it's on it's own right now. 0z Canadian doesn't show extreme cold. 20s-30s.


1063mb would make it top 3 strongest on record in the lower 48. I'm not sure I believe it. It's like a model predicting a Cat 5 but HP version. And it's not 200+ hours
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3399 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:26 pm

Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:I hope the 0z GFS is wrong with those cold temperatures. That would likely be a damaging arctic outbreak.

Thankfully it's on it's own right now. 0z Canadian doesn't show extreme cold. 20s-30s.


1063mb would make it top 3 strongest on record in the lower 48. I'm not sure I believe it. It's like a model predicting a Cat 5 but HP version. And it's not 200+ hours


Yeah I'm not worried about it yet. The GFS really has been bad lately. If other models come on board I will become concerned.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#3400 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Dec 25, 2017 11:28 pm

Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:I hope the 0z GFS is wrong with those cold temperatures. That would likely be a damaging arctic outbreak.

Thankfully it's on it's own right now. 0z Canadian doesn't show extreme cold. 20s-30s.


1063mb would make it top 3 strongest on record in the lower 48. I'm not sure I believe it. It's like a model predicting a Cat 5 but HP version. And it's not 200+ hours


For it to show it at hour 150 will turn some heads. That’s less than a week out. One thing for sure is that it’s looking quite cold next week.
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