Texas Winter 2017-2018

[South Texas Storms]

The 0z Canadian is just ridiculous. Near 0F in Austin next Wednesday morning.

[Cpv17]

Really starting to diverge again at 96h.

Yeah but the GFS did trend closer to the Euro tonight regarding that energy currently near Hawaii. Is it the start of a cave towards the Euro?

It can trend towards the Euro a lil bit. That would probably help our chances with seeing some winter fun. I’ll sacrifice 10 degrees warmer for a few inches of snow or sleet any day.

[ronyan]

lol HP strengthens to 1059mb over Nebraska.

[Ntxw]

Canadian is too obscene to post...

2F or so in Austin

[Brent]

GFS is a few degrees warmer overall, Monday morning is around 17 in Dallas(vs single digits in earlier runs)

[Ntxw]

Really starting to diverge again at 96h.

Yeah but the GFS did trend closer to the Euro tonight regarding that energy currently near Hawaii. Is it the start of a cave towards the Euro?

Time for major shifts is likely coming to a close. I think they will meet each other half way. I am convinced cold source is cold enough that the Euro temps are comical.

[South Texas Storms]

0z Canadian also shows precip with temps in the 10s and 20s across much of TX on New Years Day.

Sleet storm along IH-10 with snow in Austin.

[Ntxw]

CMC wants to bring another blast behind it . Crazy uncle

[South Texas Storms]

CMC wants to bring another blast behind it . Crazy uncle

It found Porta's secret stash of Grey Goose vodka

[Ntxw]

GFS is a few degrees warmer overall, Monday morning is around 17 in Dallas(vs single digits in earlier runs)

This GFS run is a little slower with the late push. Might be close Tues morning, highs again barely 20 Monday

[South Texas Storms]

0z GFS is showing temps across the state about 5 degrees warmer compared to the 12z and 18z run for the first half of next week. Still brutally cold though.

[Cpv17]

0z GFS is showing temps across the state about 5 degrees warmer compared to the 12z and 18z run for the first half of next week. Still brutally cold though.

Doesn’t the GFS usually have a warm bias?

[Ntxw]

0z GFS is showing temps across the state about 5 degrees warmer compared to the 12z and 18z run for the first half of next week. Still brutally cold though.

I do like the wetter trend for NYE. Might be more sleet for DFW. This really reminds me of NYE and NY 2000-2001. But this HP is much stronger

[Brent]

GFS definitely warmer

now if the Euro goes a little colder they'll be pretty close

Middle ground

[Ntxw]

0z GFS is more ridging into Western Canada than previous runs after cold wave

[JayDT]

I hope the Euro goes as crazy as the Canadian in this next run just for those that have been trying to bash the GFS

Just kidding yall lol.. But I mean at this point I wouldnt even be surprised anymore with these crazy models

[South Texas Storms]

0z GFS is more ridging into Western Canada than previous runs after cold wave

Think all of that energy out in the Pacific will eventually win out and break down the West Coast ridge. Euro and most of the ensembles are indicating this will happen in the extended as well.

This will likely bring us a wet pattern (I hope it verifies).

[Ntxw]

0z GFS is more ridging into Western Canada than previous runs after cold wave

Think all of that energy out in the Pacific will eventually win out and break down the West Coast ridge. Euro and most of the ensembles are indicating this will happen in the extended as well.

This will likely bring us a wet pattern (I hope it verifies).

I hope so too. But the PNA has been relentless the past month and the forecast continues to be positive. I'm not sure that will be as easy to break down. Every time the models try, it springs right back up. Especially with the -SOI still hanging around is more Nino +PNA

SOI was -11 today with the unbroken chain

[Rgv20]

Definitely like the 0zGFS for my area.....has a dusting of Snow/Sleet on New Years day!

[OKMet83]

If you compare the 00Z GFS run to past several runs for New Years Eve/Day Precip keeps getting pushed further west into the heart of North-Central Tx and portions of Oklahoma... IF this trend continues and I want to stress IF we could be looking at a surprise Ice /Winter Storm... I know Not a lot of talk about a storm with this but I see some stuff coming together that could work in it's favor but as we know still many days to work the fine details out.... Plenty of Tropical Moisture feeding into our Northern Pacific Storm system that will come down right into OK/N .TX.... If something pans out with this it would be no bueno especially with temperatures being below freezing for multiple days across the region. All I can tell you right now is Stay tuned!