Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
NWS Jax WFO now forcasting snowfall amounts around 2-4 inches around Alma, GA, and 1-3 inches around Waycross. Very cold, dry polar air locked in place across Southeast GA, with Alma and Waycross both at 29 degrees at 11:00 p.m. Brunswick on the coast is 32 degrees.
Dewpoints inland SE Georgia are in the single digits. I am really confident that away from the immediate coast, this is going to be a very significant snow event for Southeast Georgia no doubt. These snowfall totals may be a tad conservative. The precip is forecast to arrive as early as 5 a.m. , so I will make the quick 45 minute drive from my house very early this morning to hopefully be in place for this extremely rare treat in these neck of the woods!
Dewpoints inland SE Georgia are in the single digits. I am really confident that away from the immediate coast, this is going to be a very significant snow event for Southeast Georgia no doubt. These snowfall totals may be a tad conservative. The precip is forecast to arrive as early as 5 a.m. , so I will make the quick 45 minute drive from my house very early this morning to hopefully be in place for this extremely rare treat in these neck of the woods!
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Snow on radar making it to SELA. We’ve gone from 0% chance to suddenly 30%. I know it will not make the ground but maybe a flurry will be seen and we can officially have two recorded snowfalls in one winter.
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- MississippiWx
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
BigB0882 wrote:Snow on radar making it to SELA. We’ve gone from 0% chance to suddenly 30%. I know it will not make the ground but maybe a flurry will be seen and we can officially have two recorded snowfalls in one winter.
Your NWS forecast added 30% chance of snow to your forecast? In Baton Rouge?
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This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Mobile has added a chance of flurries as well. Also mentioned they're watching very closely.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
The radar is really filling in. Can anything make it to the surface?
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Light snow definitely falling in Kaplan, in Vermilion Parish.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Light snow now falling in Tallahassee, FL and Lake City, FL this hour.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
The 12z GFS has an interesting setup for Friday. It shows a front passing with a weak low developing over GA helping to pull down enough colder air to have a chance of some snow on the back end before ending. Border line temp. Looks like both the Euro and CMC support that to a degree. Something to keep an eye on.
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- MississippiWx
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Jag95 wrote:The 12z GFS has an interesting setup for Friday. It shows a front passing with a weak low developing over GA helping to pull down enough colder air to have a chance of some snow on the back end before ending. Border line temp. Looks like both the Euro and CMC support that to a degree. Something to keep an eye on.
0z NAM, GFS, and CMC all three show a changeover to snow on the back edge of the precip in North half of Louisiana, much of Mississippi, and continuing on into Alabama and Tennessee.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Weather Channel App showing some snow for the Hattiesburg, Ms area on Tuesday
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
00z Euro showing quite a bit of snow for the deep south including the gulf coast on Wednesday
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Michael
Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
GFS with some mix of all sorts for parts of the gulf coast region. It's going to be another potent arctic blast to start the work week.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- northjaxpro
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Yes. GFS much more robust with an upper air shortwave disturbance diving down through the amplifying upper trough down into the Deep South Tuesday. 12Z GFS showing decent amount of wintry precip across Southern Mississippi, South Alabama and into parts of Georgia. The disturbance then moves northeast up toward the Carolinas late Tuesday into Wednesday. GFS also shows wintry mix even down into the Florida Panhandle. Tuesday. The arctic frontal boundary actually merges with the disturbance as well as it pushes southward to the Gulf Coast region during Tuesday. GFS eventually develops a Low Pressure area on Wednesday just off the North Carolina coast. This potentially could be a big snow storm for the Carolinas northward later next week.
We have already had two major winter storms in the Deep South so far this winter, and it is only mod January, so who knows. This may surprise as well.
We have already had two major winter storms in the Deep South so far this winter, and it is only mod January, so who knows. This may surprise as well.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Jan 12, 2018 12:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Any chance this could trend toward SELA? It looks like the moisture must move out too quickly for us or are the colder temps to our north and east?
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
May see brief period of wintry mix around Baton Rouge late Tuesday afternoon into early Wednesday. Keep an eye on this. This definitely could change .
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Wow, 12 z euro showing big snow for the deep south..even 3 inches for NW Florida!
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Michael
Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Ivanhater wrote:Wow, 12 z euro showing big snow for the deep south..even 3 inches for NW Florida!
Yes, much of La, Ms, AL and the FL Panhandle and parts of GA! Quite an arctic front.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Ivanhater wrote:Wow, 12 z euro showing big snow for the deep south..even 3 inches for NW Florida!
Yes I just saw that as well.Awaiting the 18Z GFS in a little while.
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- MississippiWx
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
It has snowed here in McComb for about an hour and a half today. Very much a surprise! We even had big flakes, not tiny graupel. Very exciting and cool to see!
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Re: Deep South Winter 2017-2018 (LA, MS, GA, FL, NC, SC)
Did any of it stick to the ground?
MississippiWx wrote:It has snowed here in McComb for about an hour and a half today. Very much a surprise! We even had big flakes, not tiny graupel. Very exciting and cool to see!
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