South Pacific 96P INVEST

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

96P INVEST
As of 06:00 UTC Feb 01, 2018:

Location: 13.8°S 153.2°E
Maximum Winds: 20 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb[*]


Long track.

ABPW10 PGTW 010600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/010600Z-020600ZFEB2018// (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 151.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 152.2E, APPROXIMATELY
200 NM NORTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 312231Z OSCAT PASS SHOW THAT 96P IS CHARACTERIZED BY
BROAD TROUGHING WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. IN ADDITION, THE
OSCAT PASS DEPICTS A SMALL SWATH OF 15-20 KNOT WINDS DRAWN INTO THE
NORTH SIDE OF THE TROUGH. LOOKING AT THE UPPER LEVELS, VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR IS IN THE MODERATE RANGE (15-20 KNOTS) WITH MODERATE UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM (28-30 CELSIUS)
FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE CORAL SEA. GLOBAL DYNAMIC MODELS GENERALLY
AGREE ON A STRAIGHT RUNNING EASTWARD TRACK BUT VARY ON MOVEMENT
SPEED AND TC DEVELOPMENT TIMING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Code: Select all

* TGFS 2018020118 *
               * SH96 INVEST *
                                                                                                                               
                -------------------------------------------------- ---- STORM DATA --------------------------------------
NTIME 019
TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168
LATITUDE (DEG) -12.4 -12.3 -12.3 -12.5 -12.8 -13.1 -13.5 -13.7 -13.8 -13.9 -14.0 -13.1 -13.6-14.2 -15.8 -16.8 -16.8 -17.4 -20.5
LONGITUDE (DEG) 155.2 156.3 157.1 158.5 160.0 161.3 162.4 163.6 164.6 165.7 166.3 168.3 171.3 174.3 178.8 184.5 188.7 192.4 193.5
MAXWIND (KT) 22 20 20 22 23 24 25 22 21 18 24 27 29 32 41 42 48 56 65
RMW (KM) 183 186 181 191 222 171 203 197 194 208 179 188 192 166 167 146 91 120 85
MIN SLP (MB) 1002 1004 1002 1004 1002 1004 1000 1003 1001 1000 1000 999 999 997 995 993 991 985 982
SHR MAG (KT) 17 12 12 10 11 8 8 9 12 14 20 14 10 15 25 12 16 30 16
SHR DIR (DEG) 220 231 224 224 222 219 198 189 188 198 196 234 253 258 284 289 356 69 116
STM SPD (KT) 11 8 14 15 13 11 12 10 5 3 11 15 15 23 28 20 18 16 16
STM HDG (DEG) 85 90 98 102 103 110 100 96 95 100 65 100 102 110 100 90 100 161 161
SST (10C) 306 305 304 304 300 296 294 292 290 290 290 297 301 298 293 284 288 292 274

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZFEB2018//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.8S 152.2E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
NNNN