EC has a storm around the date line. The storm shown off QLD is current TS- IRIS.
Bom modelling spills the mjo into the spac.
109
FXXT01 EGRR 251604
MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR SOUTH PACIFIC AND
SOUTH-EAST INDIAN OCEANS
GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.03.2018
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NAMELESS ANALYSED POSITION : 16.7S 141.6E
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 25.03.2018 16.7S 141.6E MODERATE
00UTC 26.03.2018 16.6S 141.6E MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 26.03.2018 16.6S 142.3E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.03.2018 16.4S 142.5E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 27.03.2018 16.4S 141.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.03.2018 15.7S 139.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.03.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
TROPICAL STORM IRIS ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2S 158.6E
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 25.03.2018 15.2S 158.6E WEAK
00UTC 26.03.2018 17.0S 157.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.03.2018 18.3S 157.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.03.2018 19.4S 157.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 27.03.2018 20.8S 157.9E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.03.2018 21.1S 158.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.03.2018 20.5S 158.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.03.2018 19.7S 158.0E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.03.2018 18.9S 156.5E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.03.2018 17.5S 154.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 30.03.2018 16.8S 153.3E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.03.2018 16.4S 151.4E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.03.2018 16.1S 149.5E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 20.7S 174.9E
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 30.03.2018 20.7S 174.9E WEAK
12UTC 30.03.2018 21.0S 176.4E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.03.2018 22.0S 178.1E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.03.2018 23.1S 179.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.
BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK
TOO 251604