Texas Spring 2018
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- gboudx
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
I'm in north Austin this week. What beautiful weather here. Almost makes up for the hideous looking traffic on 183.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Models still offering a glimpse of hope for snow this month.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Brent wrote:just looking at the models I think Dallas is more likely to hit 90 than have snow...
but maybe I'm wrong But after our luck this winter I ain't holding my breath
What will be the max temp this summer? 105? 110? Higher? That is more likely than snow at this point. However, I'll hold out hope until mid-April lol
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
bubba hotep wrote:Brent wrote:just looking at the models I think Dallas is more likely to hit 90 than have snow...
but maybe I'm wrong But after our luck this winter I ain't holding my breath
What will be the max temp this summer? 105? 110? Higher? That is more likely than snow at this point. However, I'll hold out hope until mid-April lol
sorry I'm still bitter it didn't really snow here...
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Spring 2018
Well the next 7 days ish is 70s and 80s. Lows 50s and 60s with a tad cooler end of period. So at least for that stretch no snow likely. Still looking for some sig rain. That gets us to the end of March.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Spring 2018
In other news the sun is running 12 days with no spots. Over half (54% of the days so far) in 2018 have been spotless. We are nearing the solar min like 2008-2010.
What does that all mean? Means rooting for a weak/moderate El Nino to start summer or fall. There is arguably no other better ENSO pairing. Golden ticket for snow. 1963-64, 2009-10 are such years
The best would be for El Nino to read between 1C to 1.5C
What does that all mean? Means rooting for a weak/moderate El Nino to start summer or fall. There is arguably no other better ENSO pairing. Golden ticket for snow. 1963-64, 2009-10 are such years
The best would be for El Nino to read between 1C to 1.5C
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Looks like some low end svr wx threats across DFW this weekend, certainly enough to keep things interesting. It doesn't look like a widespread rain event but you can never throw out the chance of storms building into a MCS off the dryline. The interesting thing about Saturday is that the dryline will be retreating back west across DFW during the day vs. mixing in from the west.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
gboudx wrote:I'm in north Austin this week. What beautiful weather here. Almost makes up for the hideous looking traffic on 183.
Dude ... glad you're here. But my advice to you is to stay away from central Austin. It's SXSW time. Hundreds of thousands of guests.
And I see you're enjoying our lovely traffic. We used to always say "well, at least we're not Dallas or Houston." Now it's the other way around! LOL.
Weather here has been great this week. Today should be very nice.
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I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Good news everyone! I will be volunteering at the Fort Worth NWS this Summer for their student volunteer program!
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Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
TheProfessor wrote:Good news everyone! I will be volunteering at the Fort Worth NWS this Summer for their student volunteer program!
That is awesome news! Congratulations.
Of course, we'll be expecting to benefit now from having an "inside source" at the NWS.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
- gboudx
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Portastorm wrote:gboudx wrote:I'm in north Austin this week. What beautiful weather here. Almost makes up for the hideous looking traffic on 183.
Dude ... glad you're here. But my advice to you is to stay away from central Austin. It's SXSW time. Hundreds of thousands of guests.
And I see you're enjoying our lovely traffic. We used to always say "well, at least we're not Dallas or Houston." Now it's the other way around! LOL.
Weather here has been great this week. Today should be very nice.
I'm going nowhere near the SXSW scene. This is actually my first time spending any time at all in Austin. I've only driven through, or around on way to Bastrop or SA. The traffic is bad, but in this area(Arboretum) I've noticed the drivers are a lot more courteous than I'm used to in the Dallas area. Drivers will actually let you in traffic rather than try and cut you off. And drivers here use those things on your cars than indicate which way you will be turning. I forget what those are called. I've heard a lot less car horns as well.
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- South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
TheProfessor wrote:Good news everyone! I will be volunteering at the Fort Worth NWS this Summer for their student volunteer program!
Congrats! The more connections you can make before graduation, the better off you will be. I did a summer internship at the company I'm working at now.
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
South Texas Storms wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Good news everyone! I will be volunteering at the Fort Worth NWS this Summer for their student volunteer program!
Congrats! The more connections you can make before graduation, the better off you will be. I did a summer internship at the company I'm working at now.
Great news Professor. Keep us updated this summer. It has been a joy seeing your progress over the years starting with all the posts while in class in high school. Keep it up!!
Warm one on tap for today approaching the record of 88 . Probably will fall just short. Good, I don't like running the a/c in March. Only a minor cool down next week and I have a feeling March will be well above normal when it is all said and done. Ho hum.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Maybe a big Texas rain maker on tap? The Euro has a big western trough and PWAT values across Texas are approaching 3 STD above normal.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- srainhoutx
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
The ECMWF Weeklies suggests some chilly air returns around March 27th, +/- a day or two.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
The 12z Euro looks a lot like the 12z 12K NAM with areas north of I20 and east of I35 picking up some decent storms this weekend.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Spring 2018
I agree signal is increasing for a late month cold snap. WWB in the central Pacific is boosting odds of an El Nino to try and get going.
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/974654748958904321
Made a post how below the ocean surface we are very close to 2009 right now in the ENSO thread. In years that El Nino tries to come on, April tends to be cool/wet
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/974654748958904321
Made a post how below the ocean surface we are very close to 2009 right now in the ENSO thread. In years that El Nino tries to come on, April tends to be cool/wet
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
March 2009 has been a pretty decent analog up to this point in the month.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
About 20% of the Euro EPS members and the control get some winter wx into Texas over the next two weeks
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2018
Multiple chances for storms across DFW this weekend, coverage looks to be highest in the NE portions but we all know how models struggle with convection placement and timing;
SPC is most interested in Sunday:
SPC is most interested in Sunday:
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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