I found the April forecast for Enso 3.4 on the public free site. Is this what you were referring to in yout post?
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NDG wrote:The fact that it has taken 4 or more years for El Niño to return after a Super El Niño event is what this year has to go against, but I guess there’s always a first time.
Dean_175 wrote:NDG wrote:The fact that it has taken 4 or more years for El Niño to return after a Super El Niño event is what this year has to go against, but I guess there’s always a first time.
1965 was a borderline "super" El Nino. Followed by El Nino in 1968.
Depending on how you want to define it, here have been between 3 and 5 "super" El Nino events recorded since reliable records began. Not large enough of a sample size to draw any conclusions.
cycloneye wrote:The March update of PDO index is down to negative and it hasn't been that way since January 2014. Is at -0.05.
http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest
Kingarabian wrote:Well the +PDO regime could be finally over.
NotSparta wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Well the +PDO regime could be finally over.
Watch it jump positive for April lol
NDG wrote:cycloneye wrote:The March update of PDO index is down to negative and it hasn't been that way since January 2014. Is at -0.05.
http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest
Many didn't see that one coming, but it makes sense with that warm pool east of Japan and cooler coastal waters off of Alaska & Canada.
cycloneye wrote:@BretWaltsWx
Going to be challenging to degrade Nina with these easterly wind bursts forecasted to continue over the next few weeks.
[img]https://i.imgur.com/9M1zALz.jpg[img]
[tweet]https://twitter.com/BretWaltsWx/status/984075242963460096[tweet]
Alyono wrote:my earlier el niño call is clearly going to bust now. Simply far too much cool water. Negative PDO is not helping matter at all
Alyono wrote: I see something else. Many of the Atlantic - anomalies are going away
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