cycloneye wrote:I dont know if is here in PR only but can't open the CPC site.
Yeah having trouble too
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cycloneye wrote:I dont know if is here in PR only but can't open the CPC site.
Ntxw wrote:2009 around this time was -0.2C while last year was +0.5. Diverging outcomes.
Ntxw wrote:He has been on the wait and see approach but still can't deny the changes that have taken place. The surface trades in the east have done little to stop the thermocline. Any relaxation of trades going forward will allow warmth to increase at a faster clip
[tweet]https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/988810286764261376[tweet]
cycloneye wrote:@BenNollWeather
ENSO developments:
(1) Anomalous westerlies later this week into early May should help to push warmer waters eastward toward the dateline.
(2) Another period of anomalous winds in a week, farther east in the basin, will likely continue to erode the cool pool.
[img]https://i.imgur.com/FNEWaLu.jpg[img]
[tweet]https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/988745571430088704[tweet]
Kingarabian wrote:cycloneye wrote:@BenNollWeather
ENSO developments:
(1) Anomalous westerlies later this week into early May should help to push warmer waters eastward toward the dateline.
(2) Another period of anomalous winds in a week, farther east in the basin, will likely continue to erode the cool pool.
[img]https://i.imgur.com/FNEWaLu.jpg[img]
[tweet]https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/988745571430088704[tweet]
The graphic may not show it, but that strong up coming WWB will more than likely significantly weaken the trades residing in the central pacific even further. We could see those blues turn into yellow or red in the next couple of runs by the Euro and the GFS.
Ntxw wrote:Kingarabian wrote:cycloneye wrote:@BenNollWeather
ENSO developments:
(1) Anomalous westerlies later this week into early May should help to push warmer waters eastward toward the dateline.
(2) Another period of anomalous winds in a week, farther east in the basin, will likely continue to erode the cool pool.
[img]https://i.imgur.com/FNEWaLu.jpg[img]
[tweet]https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/988745571430088704[tweet]
The graphic may not show it, but that strong up coming WWB will more than likely significantly weaken the trades residing in the central pacific even further. We could see those blues turn into yellow or red in the next couple of runs by the Euro and the GFS.
It may be a significant WWB. The prior westerlies was variable and isolated but this upcoming one you can follow from left to right mid April 0-60E moving east as time moves along the Pacific. It strengthens in the same areas favored so far in 2018 where the MJO has been enhanced most.
StruThiO wrote:Another Webb tweet. This is very interesting how perfectly the config. lines up
[tweet]https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/988880924451450880[tweet]
Ntxw wrote:Also EQ Pacific heat anoms is greater at this time compared to 2009 during the same period
The foundation is there
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