ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

[txwatcher91]

HMON has landfall as a hurricane, 971mb pressure.

[cycloneye]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251743
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 03 20180525
172930 2837N 08845W 4463 06734 0333 -140 -192 220008 008 /// /// 03
173000 2835N 08844W 4464 06732 0332 -139 -194 218008 009 /// /// 03
173030 2832N 08844W 4466 06728 0331 -137 -197 218008 009 /// /// 03
173100 2829N 08843W 4463 06733 0331 -135 -199 218008 008 /// /// 03
173130 2827N 08843W 4463 06732 0330 -135 -245 224009 009 /// /// 03
173200 2824N 08842W 4463 06732 0330 -133 -332 218011 011 /// /// 03
173230 2821N 08842W 4463 06731 0329 -135 -354 225012 012 /// /// 03
173300 2818N 08841W 4463 06729 0328 -136 -334 225012 012 /// /// 03
173330 2816N 08840W 4464 06727 0327 -135 -313 226012 013 /// /// 03
173400 2813N 08840W 4463 06729 0327 -135 -316 228013 013 /// /// 03
173430 2810N 08839W 4463 06729 0328 -135 -315 227013 014 /// /// 03
173500 2808N 08838W 4463 06731 0329 -138 -297 226014 014 /// /// 03
173530 2805N 08837W 4464 06729 0329 -135 -282 227015 015 /// /// 03
173600 2803N 08836W 4464 06728 0329 -136 -289 229014 015 /// /// 03
173630 2800N 08835W 4464 06728 0328 -135 -284 230013 014 /// /// 03
173700 2757N 08834W 4463 06732 0329 -135 -291 226013 013 /// /// 03
173730 2755N 08833W 4463 06730 0329 -135 -309 224013 013 /// /// 03
173800 2752N 08832W 4464 06728 0329 -135 -342 226014 015 /// /// 03
173830 2750N 08830W 4463 06730 0329 -138 -347 222015 016 /// /// 03
173900 2747N 08829W 4466 06727 0329 -135 -352 223014 015 /// /// 03
$$

[cycloneye]

To have the main recon thread clean of discussions to then have all the data without interruptions,this thread will be to allow discussions about what the planes are finding.

[xironman]

I don't know if the center "reforming" is the way to look at it. Back a while ago AFM discussed how the LLC would be drawn to the convection, while the forces in the convection would merge toward the LLC. Hence not a jump, but more of a way of fudging its way forward.

[tolakram]

Hi people

can anyone tell me whats happening with the floaters and goest east
sat imagery..its all changed and i can't seem to access it.

can anyone provide any links to alternative imagery please.

sorry if this is in the wrong thread/section and has been mention before.

Thanks

Use this page instead for the best loops: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... 2-48-1-100 Link on the left, mesoscale floaters.

This page is decent: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... opical.asp

As is this: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/

[wxman57]

Squalls east of Cozumel have diminished over the past few hours. Winds there may have dropped below TS strength. I don't see any well-defined LLC. However, when one does form, it's going to be close to the convection, generally to the northeast. Still looks like it could be a moderate TS at landfall. Wouldn't rule out a hurricane, but not forecasting that. Time to finish up the next advisory...

[cycloneye]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251751
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 04 20180525
173930 2744N 08828W 4464 06728 0329 -135 -356 228014 014 /// /// 03
174000 2742N 08827W 4464 06730 0329 -135 -308 230014 014 /// /// 03
174030 2739N 08826W 4462 06732 0329 -135 -252 231014 014 /// /// 03
174100 2737N 08825W 4463 06730 0330 -135 -252 226014 014 /// /// 03
174130 2734N 08824W 4464 06729 0330 -135 -239 220014 014 /// /// 03
174200 2731N 08823W 4463 06730 0329 -135 -247 211016 016 /// /// 03
174230 2729N 08822W 4466 06728 0329 -135 -235 209015 016 /// /// 03
174300 2726N 08821W 4463 06729 0328 -135 -232 212015 015 /// /// 03
174330 2724N 08820W 4463 06731 0329 -135 -222 210015 015 /// /// 03
174400 2721N 08819W 4461 06735 0330 -139 -204 211015 015 /// /// 03
174430 2718N 08818W 4462 06735 0330 -137 -169 210013 014 /// /// 03
174500 2716N 08817W 4466 06728 0329 -140 -149 205013 014 /// /// 05
174530 2716N 08817W 4466 06728 0330 -137 -160 204013 014 /// /// 03
174600 2711N 08815W 4464 06730 0330 -141 -148 211013 015 /// /// 05
174630 2708N 08814W 4464 06730 0330 -140 -146 198011 012 /// /// 03
174700 2706N 08813W 4464 06732 0331 -140 -143 194009 011 /// /// 03
174730 2703N 08812W 4465 06728 0330 -140 -149 195008 009 /// /// 03
174800 2700N 08811W 4463 06734 0331 -137 -151 195008 010 /// /// 03
174830 2658N 08810W 4462 06737 0332 -138 -151 146006 007 /// /// 03
174900 2655N 08809W 4459 06741 0332 -134 -145 172011 011 /// /// 03

[GCANE]

Upper Levels are starting to moisten over the Yucatan.
Chances increasing for popups.

[wxman57]

Before I get back to my Alberto advisory, here's a shot from my workstation. Broad, weak low center. Diminishing squalls well to the northeast.

[stormhunter7]

A true subtropical system. looking at close-ups... the dry cool air aloft over coc.

[cycloneye]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251801
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 05 20180525
174930 2653N 08808W 4464 06732 0331 -134 -147 182011 013 /// /// 05
175000 2650N 08807W 4463 06734 0332 -132 -200 188010 013 /// /// 03
175030 2647N 08806W 4464 06730 0332 -131 -181 180009 010 /// /// 03
175100 2645N 08805W 4464 06732 0332 -133 -169 188009 009 /// /// 03
175130 2642N 08804W 4463 06735 0333 -134 -196 197009 009 /// /// 03
175200 2640N 08803W 4462 06736 0333 -135 -197 194008 008 /// /// 03
175230 2637N 08802W 4463 06735 0333 -130 -218 186007 008 /// /// 03
175300 2635N 08801W 4463 06735 0334 -130 -242 184007 008 /// /// 03
175330 2632N 08800W 4464 06733 0334 -130 -267 180007 007 /// /// 03
175400 2629N 08759W 4464 06736 0334 -128 -265 190007 007 /// /// 03
175430 2627N 08758W 4464 06733 0334 -130 -229 194008 010 /// /// 03
175500 2624N 08757W 4462 06738 0334 -126 -198 198010 012 /// /// 03
175530 2622N 08756W 4464 06735 0334 -127 -218 184008 009 /// /// 03
175600 2619N 08755W 4464 06732 0334 -126 -221 182008 009 /// /// 03
175630 2617N 08754W 4463 06735 0333 -125 -235 191008 009 /// /// 03
175700 2614N 08753W 4462 06737 0333 -127 -219 189008 009 /// /// 03
175730 2611N 08752W 4464 06733 0333 -125 -220 207007 007 /// /// 03
175800 2609N 08751W 4463 06733 0332 -125 -252 210007 007 /// /// 03
175830 2606N 08750W 4464 06732 0332 -121 -260 211006 007 /// /// 03
175900 2604N 08749W 4462 06737 0333 -121 -253 209006 007 /// /// 03
$$

[caneman]

Squalls east of Cozumel have diminished over the past few hours. Winds there may have dropped below TS strength. I don't see any well-defined LLC. However, when one does form, it's going to be close to the convection, generally to the northeast. Still looks like it could be a moderate TS at landfall. Wouldn't rule out a hurricane, but not forecasting that. Time to finish up the next advisory...

How close will this new center come to the West coast of Florida before moving away? Isnt this idea a little closer to what UKMET is calling for?

[gatorcane]

12Z Euro 48 hours:

[cycloneye]

So far,Levi Cowan's recon section is not working to see the graphics of plane and data.

[tolakram]

[wxman57]

Squalls east of Cozumel have diminished over the past few hours. Winds there may have dropped below TS strength. I don't see any well-defined LLC. However, when one does form, it's going to be close to the convection, generally to the northeast. Still looks like it could be a moderate TS at landfall. Wouldn't rule out a hurricane, but not forecasting that. Time to finish up the next advisory...

How close will this new center come to the West coast of Florida before moving away? Isnt this idea a little closer to what UKMET is calling for?

About 190 miles.

[Craters]

Before I get back to my Alberto advisory, here's a shot from my workstation. Broad, weak low center. Diminishing squalls well to the northeast.

Sure would be neat to be under that LLC. It's small enough that I'd bet you could look up and see the whole thing slowly spinning all around you!

[tarheelprogrammer]

So far,Levi Cowan's recon section is not working to see the graphics of plane and data.

I got you all:

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... ing=cesium

Hope that helps some.

[tolakram]

96 hrs well inland, waiting on weather.us to update

[cycloneye]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251814
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 06 20180525
175930 2601N 08748W 4467 06733 0338 -120 -253 228006 006 /// /// 03
180000 2558N 08747W 4466 06734 0338 -120 -258 235005 006 /// /// 03
180030 2556N 08746W 4463 06734 0334 -120 -270 228006 007 /// /// 03
180100 2553N 08745W 4464 06732 0333 -120 -278 216008 008 /// /// 03
180130 2551N 08744W 4464 06732 0332 -122 -284 228010 010 /// /// 03
180200 2548N 08743W 4463 06732 0330 -123 -226 230007 011 /// /// 03
180230 2545N 08742W 4463 06732 0329 -128 -171 260005 008 /// /// 03
180300 2543N 08741W 4464 06728 0329 -132 -188 241009 012 /// /// 03
180330 2540N 08740W 4464 06729 0329 -130 -210 251010 011 /// /// 03
180400 2537N 08739W 4463 06732 0331 -128 -189 258009 011 /// /// 03
180430 2535N 08738W 4463 06733 0331 -130 -215 260007 008 /// /// 03
180500 2532N 08737W 4463 06731 0330 -132 -185 260008 009 /// /// 03
180530 2530N 08736W 4464 06730 0330 -131 -189 259007 007 /// /// 03
180600 2527N 08735W 4463 06730 0329 -130 -163 257010 010 /// /// 03
180630 2524N 08734W 4463 06732 0331 -127 -163 238009 010 /// /// 03
180700 2522N 08733W 4462 06734 0331 -125 -169 214009 010 /// /// 03
180730 2519N 08732W 4466 06727 0329 -125 -179 209006 008 /// /// 03
180800 2516N 08731W 4463 06729 0329 -125 -174 206006 006 /// /// 03
180830 2514N 08730W 4464 06729 0329 -125 -171 210006 006 /// /// 03
180900 2511N 08729W 4465 06727 0329 -126 -184 222004 005 /// /// 03
$$