ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

[tropicwatch]

Even if it became cat 1, northern gulf storms often weaken just before landfall.

Actually they have a bad habit of intensifying this time of year.

[chaser1]

Even if it became cat 1, northern gulf storms often weaken just before landfall.

I believe that tendency would tend to apply more to later season storms.

[stormreader]

Even if it became cat 1, northern gulf storms often weaken just before landfall.

Destin, you should prepare for possible hurricane conditions tomorrow. Just saying it’s probably gonna be a little rockier than you may have figured.

[DestinHurricane]

Even if it became cat 1, northern gulf storms often weaken just before landfall.

Destin, you should prepare for possible hurricane conditions tomorrow. Just saying it’s probably gonna be a little rockier than you may have figured.

yeah getting a bit worried about my boat on my lift

[stormhunter7]

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 29.1N 85.7W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.4N 86.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

[chaser1]

Funny thing is storms can strengthen with shallow convection. After jeanne in 2005 did the loop convection was very shallow but a inner core developed regardless. Then later on the convection deepened

Well I was wrong but it is crappy looking on radar

Oh, NO doubt!! I anticipated that we'd see some pressure falls any time soon. That doesn't mean for a moment that I think Alberto looks any better then "dog-meat" though

[Florabamaman]

This is getting interesting for those of us in Santa Rosa county. I get the sense that some let their guard down a bit when the track moved Eastward. It now seems to be swinging back our way.

[pcolaman]

The thing that gets me is 12 mph to the nw. So that will move landfall to the west unless it turns hard to the north.So possible hurricane at landfall now with little time for evacuations from the coast.

Normally one does not need to evacuate for Cat 1/2
Storm surge estimates are my critical deciding factorand or CAT 3 classification

Beg to differ with ya. Cat 1 will issue on barrier islands voluntary evacuations with cat 2 mandatory evacuation. Storm surge could be an issue as well. Tourist will be asked to leave first

[SunnyThoughts]

This is getting interesting for those of us in Santa Rosa county. I get the sense that some let their guard down a bit when the track moved Eastward. It now seems to be swinging back our way.

Yeah, I think you are right. I'm in Pace, between Pensacola and Milton...will keep watching until the system is inland here.

[Kazmit]

I'm a bit worried for those on the northern gulf coast. They didn't expect the track shift and the sudden increase in intensity.

[gatorcane]

Looks like it has slowed down quite a bit:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

[Blackwaterjoe22]

This is getting interesting for those of us in Santa Rosa county. I get the sense that some let their guard down a bit when the track moved Eastward. It now seems to be swinging back our way.

Watching it close here on Blackwater Bay in Milton. We had a foot of water in our house from Mate's surge last fall.
May turn out to be a more interesting time than I was thinking earlier today.

Joe

[MidnightRain]

The track hasn't really shifted, the NW movement was forecasted. Still on track for a landfall pretty much between FWB and Panama City.

[bella_may]

Think the nhc will shift the track in the 10pm advisory?

[bella_may]

The track hasn't really shifted, the NW movement was forecasted. Still on track for a landfall pretty much between FWB and Panama City.

The center is a little west of where they forecasted though

[Florabamaman]

This is getting interesting for those of us in Santa Rosa county. I get the sense that some let their guard down a bit when the track moved Eastward. It now seems to be swinging back our way.

Yeah, I think you are right. I'm in Pace, between Pensacola and Milton...will keep watching until the system is inland here.

Howdy neighbor! I'm in Pace as well...

[tropicwatch]

Might have lost comms with recon. No reports last 30 minutes.

[chaser1]

Even if it became cat 1, northern gulf storms often weaken just before landfall.

Destin, you should prepare for possible hurricane conditions tomorrow. Just saying it’s probably gonna be a little rockier than you may have figured.

yeah getting a bit worried about my boat on my lift

I don't know that I'd be overly concerned about a 20' boat on a lift, as much as I'd be a bit more concerned about a slightly enhanced risk of a nearby tree, debris or other weaker structure landing on it. Definitely make sure that boat plug is out.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 280021
AF306 0501A ALBERTO HDOB 21 20180528
001200 2703N 08417W 8430 01514 0049 +150 +124 205032 032 023 000 00
001230 2702N 08416W 8429 01517 0051 +146 +124 205031 032 020 000 00
001300 2701N 08415W 8429 01518 0053 +146 +125 203032 033 020 000 00
001330 2700N 08414W 8429 01517 0053 +145 +127 203033 033 022 000 00
001400 2659N 08413W 8428 01520 0054 +147 +122 204031 032 020 000 00
001430 2658N 08411W 8429 01520 0054 +150 +128 204031 032 019 000 03
001500 2657N 08410W 8425 01526 0054 +154 +139 201032 033 /// /// 03
001530 2659N 08409W 8430 01521 //// +150 //// 194032 032 010 001 05
001600 2701N 08409W 8432 01517 0050 +151 +143 194032 033 020 000 00
001630 2703N 08409W 8429 01518 0051 +149 +141 195032 033 020 000 00
001700 2704N 08409W 8429 01518 0051 +150 +137 196032 032 019 000 00
001730 2706N 08409W 8430 01517 0051 +149 +135 195033 033 020 000 00
001800 2708N 08410W 8430 01517 0051 +150 +133 194033 033 020 000 00
001830 2710N 08410W 8433 01515 0051 +148 +132 195033 034 022 001 00
001900 2712N 08410W 8428 01520 0050 +150 +130 193034 034 022 000 00
001930 2714N 08410W 8432 01515 0050 +150 +129 194032 034 022 001 00
002000 2716N 08410W 8429 01517 0049 +152 +129 193031 032 023 000 00
002030 2718N 08410W 8430 01516 0050 +151 +127 193031 032 023 000 00
002100 2720N 08410W 8421 01524 0047 +152 +133 193031 032 023 000 00
002130 2722N 08410W 8416 01531 0049 +150 +140 187032 032 022 000 00
$$
;

[daromaine]

Even if it became cat 1, northern gulf storms often weaken just before landfall.

Destin, you should prepare for possible hurricane conditions tomorrow. Just saying it’s probably gonna be a little rockier than you may have figured.

So I wasn't worried and now maybe I should? As long as we don't act like idiots and venture out we should be fine, correct?? High rise on the beach. Evaq map that someone listed elsewhere said we were in a zone for I believe a cat 3.