Texas Summer 2018
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Only 97 at the big airport so far may avoid 100 again
Remember when today was 105+ on the models?
Remember when today was 105+ on the models?
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#neversummer
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Brent wrote:Only 97 at the big airport so far may avoid 100 again
Remember when today was 105+ on the models?
Up to 97 now, IIRC, the forecast was 104 earlier today and they lowered it to 101 during one of the updates.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
18z 3K NAM holds on to a pretty decent looking event across DFW. SPC mesoanalysis shows surface based CAPE is pushing past 4000 j/kg and Sat images show a slowly developing CU field just north of DFW. Tha Cap is slowly eroding but there isn't a whole lot of lift with the front, so we need all the surface heating that we can get.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
12z TXTech Ensemble looks pretty good
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Just got an update that Camp Mabry officially reached 100 degrees around 3pm, the earliest 100-degree day since the infamously hot and dry year of 2011. Hmm.
We hit 100 too. Yay.
We hit 100 too. Yay.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cctxhurricanewatcher
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
I am going to go on record to say I hope the current High pressure locks itself over the state for the entire summer because it will block any tropical nonsense from hitting our coast.
We still have a number of people still trying to get their lives back together down here. And everyone down here is going to get whacked with higher insurance costs as soon as the final bills come in from the insurance companies on top of all the litigation costs that will be passed on to we the consumers. Any further damage anywhere on our coast is going to compound it.
We still have a number of people still trying to get their lives back together down here. And everyone down here is going to get whacked with higher insurance costs as soon as the final bills come in from the insurance companies on top of all the litigation costs that will be passed on to we the consumers. Any further damage anywhere on our coast is going to compound it.
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
12Z GFS builds the ridge right over Texas around the 8th. Euro keeps the center west of Texas, which would not be as hot and would give us a chance of some afternoon storms. I'd trust the Euro over the GFS beyond a few days. May get some storms building across Texas tomorrow. Had a pleasant 5-hr bike ride today. Got back home around 2pm. Felt like a cool summer day.
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- Haris
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
102F at the HWC center in W Austin today! Summer is here! May get a few sct storms in Austin tom but chances look slim . The death ridge pattern continues...
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
We've got a cell firing just SW of DFW. The CU field north of DFW has thinned some over the past hour but also appears that the front is sagging towards the Red River, need to get something going here soon.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Still waiting for the front to set things off but it might not happen in DFW... However, there is one svr warned cell just SW of DFW that busted through
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
That cell is just anchored on that boundary
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
00z FWD Sounding
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
bubba hotep wrote:Brent wrote:Only 97 at the big airport so far may avoid 100 again
Remember when today was 105+ on the models?
Up to 97 now, IIRC, the forecast was 104 earlier today and they lowered it to 101 during one of the updates.
Officially, 98 was the high... Busting low when it doesn't matter lol
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Summer 2018
cctxhurricanewatcher wrote:I am going to go on record to say I hope the current High pressure locks itself over the state for the entire summer because it will block any tropical nonsense from hitting our coast.
We still have a number of people still trying to get their lives back together down here. And everyone down here is going to get whacked with higher insurance costs as soon as the final bills come in from the insurance companies on top of all the litigation costs that will be passed on to we the consumers. Any further damage anywhere on our coast is going to compound it.
Let us compromise. How about we keep Houston and the coastal areas rain free while the central and western half of the state gets a stalled meandering TUTT low?
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Cold front sagging into NW Collin County, running out of time for storms...
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Welp, let's try again tomorrow night...
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Mets, need your brain and expertise. What are summers like where we have such a positive PMM like this? Does the positioning of where warm water is lead to sinking air in the West Texas region in the upper levels? Rising air from the warm water, bending to the right due to Coriolis effect, sinking right over Texas. Right? If so, this is going to be a brutal summer.
If this i the case, what other summers can we compare a +PMM to? I am heading out for a bit, i can check analogs later but if you guys have some already, that would be awesome.
If this i the case, what other summers can we compare a +PMM to? I am heading out for a bit, i can check analogs later but if you guys have some already, that would be awesome.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Summer 2018
Nice to see the radar lighting up.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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