Moderator: S2k Moderators
weatherdude1108 wrote:
I'm already seeing it in the skies here, especially to our east. Amazing how all that dust gets caught up in the jet stream, getting halfway around the world!
JDawg512 wrote:weatherdude1108 wrote:
I'm already seeing it in the skies here, especially to our east. Amazing how all that dust gets caught up in the jet stream, getting halfway around the world!
There is an important benefit to the dust. As it does with the Amazon Rainforest, the dust also brings important nutrients to our soils. It's no fun to breathe though especially since I'm on antibiotics for an upper respiratory infection.
Confidence continues to increase that rain chances will begin to rise on Tuesday and peak on Wednesday over the region.
An upper level trough will be developing over the NE Gulf of Mexico over the next few days under the southern flank of a very upper level high pressure cell over the Midwest and NE US. Tropical moisture with PWS of 2.0-2.5 inches will become entrained within this trough and both the moisture and the trough will begin to move westward this weekend into early next week. Global forecast models continue to indicate that moisture will begin to increase over SE TX on Tuesday and peak on Wednesday with expected PWS of 2.2-2.5 inches on July 4th. Rain chances will begin to increase Tuesday afternoon from the east and peak on Wednesday with the trough overhead or just to our west.
High moisture levels look to support very heavy rainfall during the period from late on July 3rd through July 4th. Convective trigger temperatures on the 4th will cool into the mid 80’s suggesting little to no heating will be required to produce showers and thunderstorms. The air mass becomes nearly saturated by late on the 3rd and into the 4th with rainfall production in showers and thunderstorms maximized. At this time, it is unclear when and where the greatest rains may occur. The models have been bouncing around within an area from Houston to Lufkin to Lake Charles to offshore the last few days. Based on the incoming air mass and extremely moist conditions high short duration rainfall rates of 2-3 inches in an hour will be possible on the 4th.
Overall 48 hour storm totals (3rd and 4th) will likely averaged 1-3 inches over the area with isolated totals of 5-6 inches in any areas of slow storm motions or cell training.
Residents are encouraged to continue to monitor forecasts for the middle of next week as rainfall amounts, timing and locations will likely change over the next few days.
I guess I won't be going back outside anytime soon!! 
Haris wrote:JDawg512 wrote:weatherdude1108 wrote:
I'm already seeing it in the skies here, especially to our east. Amazing how all that dust gets caught up in the jet stream, getting halfway around the world!
There is an important benefit to the dust. As it does with the Amazon Rainforest, the dust also brings important nutrients to our soils. It's no fun to breathe though especially since I'm on antibiotics for an upper respiratory infection.
Oh , wow! You sure know a lot about the soil world
Brent wrote:July... yay. The dog days of summer are officially here.
the 0z Euro is vastly different for C TX this week than the 12z
Haris wrote:
OCT 2015!
Haris wrote:
GFS looks nice for the 4th
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 12 guests
