ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical

[Siker]

the last few hours.. almost look like Beryl is moving just south of west..

I thought I saw that about an hour or so ago.... then all of a sudden i'm seeing satellite of what appears to be the CONUS Southwest region?? Tried to refresh but nothing - odd?

Unfortunately they moved the 1 minute floater away from over Beryl to track storms over the US. Beryl's normal 15 minute imagery floater is still available on Tropical Tidbits.

[SeaBrz_FL]

We are watching it VERY closely here in Barbados (13.2N 56.6W). Even the Trinis & Tobagians in Trinidad & Tobago (10.0 - 11.4N 60.5 - 61.8W) have the eyes wide open now. The other islands behind (west) us here too ... we are always getting the taste long before anyone else.

Wish they would put up another ASCAT type satellite - too much open areas with the Metop A & B almost following each other. Remember I guy that got removed from the NHC some years ago for asking for that - that had me so infuriated back then (for us out here). We got plenty CROW to hand out now.

Not sure who the "they" is you are referring to, but if you and your fellow islanders commission a satellite, I will coordinate with Elon to get it launched on a SpaceX flight

[tolakram]

It's not going to suck in any dry air unless there's shear involved. The amazing thing, for me, is how it found a pocket of near perfect conditions in an area full of poor conditions. Hopefully, because it's small, it will fade as fast as it formed but I really don't think we have a very good ability to forecast these in either direction. Some years they beat the odds, some they don't.

[txwatcher91]

the last few hours.. almost look like Beryl is moving just south of west..

CDO is also beginning to expand, especially the south/east sides of the storm. Tonight we could be a large blowup of convection followed by RI, it has that "look" to it IMO.

[bamajammer4eva]

Knabb pretty much says they have no idea about forecast intensity of Beryl

 https://twitter.com/DrRickKnabb/status/1015294754228178945

[Aric Dunn]

THere is definitely some easterly shear that has kicked up the last few hours. should not last long though.

[GCANE]

At least one maybe two Big Ass Towers (BATs) may have just fired off.
Gotta check if there's a High Res Floater.

[tolakram]

This is the best it gets at the moment with no floater.

SLIDER: http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=16493.5&y=8582&z=5&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[Aric Dunn]

This is the best it gets at the moment with no floater.

SLIDER: http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=16493.5&y=8582&z=5&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

dont forget the old school Rammb 1km

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

[GCANE]

This is the best it gets at the moment with no floater.

SLIDER: http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=16493.5&y=8582&z=5&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

Much thanks

[Hammy]

I've been going here personally https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/ since the standard page is highres enough.

[txwatcher91]

Nice towers are firing all around the center of Beryl, at Dmin too. The warmer waters its moving into are starting to take effect. Also, noticing some CDO expansion and WV shows the south/east sides are expanding and outflow is improving some. Watch for liftoff tonight.

[AutoPenalti]

Well, looks like she ate my words.

[StruThiO]

Well, looks like she ate my words.

what do you mean?

[chaser1]

Am I seeing arc clouds??

[Alyono]

This is the least organized it has been since the eye appeared yesterday

[Alyono]

low level winds appear less favorable this afternoon. Not seeing as much convergence into the center

[Hammy]

Beryl may have peaked already, it looks like there might be some dry air mixing in to the west undercutting the cirrus and the moisture envelope is shrinking (with the bulk of it to the east)

[cycloneye]

The Sunday mission is still going.

HURRICANE BERYL
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 74
A. 08/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0102A BERYL
C. 08/0830Z
D. 14.2N 56.6W
E. 08/1100Z TO 08/1730Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[txwatcher91]

low level winds appear less favorable this afternoon. Not seeing as much convergence into the center

It looks like the storm is undergoing some structural changes and trying to expand in size some. CDO has expanded a good bit since this morning and the "tail" to the south is merging in with Beryl now. We are also at Dmin which is likely affecting Beryl a bit due to the marginal SST's.