https://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
two officially in the basin.
I don't see 5 tropical lowss that have already formed into cyclones
2018 WPAC Season
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
Twisted-core
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
https://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
two officially in the basin.
I don't see 5 tropical lowss that have already formed into cyclones
0 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
The models starting to show some slowdown. EURO has only one more developing...
0 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
With 5 TC's, last occurrence could be from 1960 so far i found on post!
0 likes
-
Twisted-core
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
https://imgur.com/grP5Upm
@ Present on sat-pic looks to me like just a vigorous piece of MT..
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?
@ Present on sat-pic looks to me like just a vigorous piece of MT..
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?
1 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
The models still insisting on more development until the first week of next month...
0 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
During Week-1, JTWC indicates low confidence (approximately 10 percent) for additional tropical cyclone formation from 5N to 30N, 145E to 165E, well east of the current systems.
1 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Starting to see some slowness in the models as the suppressed phrase of the MJO moves in...
1 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1022594956974870528
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1022100388768624641
Something to keep an eye on...
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1022100388768624641
Something to keep an eye on...
0 likes
-
euro6208
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
This will be something to watch. ECMWF has the Velocity Anomaly over the area the entire month.
0 likes
-
1900hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 6059
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
- Location: Houston, TX
- Contact:
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Looks like a bit of a break once Jongdari exits the stage, but there are some signs of the next round of activity about a week into August. The 12Z operational ECMWF showed a resurgent monsoon trough with multiple areas consolidating along its length. Ensemble data from both EPS and GEPS seem to at least hint at the same type of scenario, showing lowering surface pressures and mid-level heights, a sign of monsoon trough activity.
0 likes
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
-
euro6208
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Oh dear, the Philippines in it for yet another flooding if that verifies.
0 likes
-
euro6208