2018 WPAC Season
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1366
- Age: 24
- Joined: Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:15 am
- Location: Hong Kong
- Contact:
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
39 years ago, the center of Typhoon Hope made landfall over the northeastern part of Hong Kong. It's one of the most severe typhoons affecting the region, and below are some photos showing the damages brought by this monster.
The typhoon had maintained a concentric eyewall structure before making landfall, as shown in the radar imagery below.
The typhoon had maintained a concentric eyewall structure before making landfall, as shown in the radar imagery below.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
From the historic heat wave (still ongoing) to the deadly flooding which has cause over 300 deaths in the past 2 months. What a year this is shaping up to be for them.
Future Shanshan
Future Shanshan
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1024719950559236096
Interesting discussion on GFS's over performance in the WPAC.
Interesting discussion on GFS's over performance in the WPAC.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Been reading reports of Japan restarting their reconnaissance flights into typhoons this year.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
00Z EURO very robust on twins developing on both sides of the Philippines.
You can also see Hector about to cross over from the CPAC.
WPAC on fire.
You can also see Hector about to cross over from the CPAC.
WPAC on fire.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
In agreement with GFS. GFS overestimating intensity again.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Very important TSR update on the 7th.
27/17/9 ACE 307 in the May update.
27/17/10 ACE 331 in the July update.
Both slightly above the 1965-2017 norm.
Will the numbers continue to increase?
27/17/9 ACE 307 in the May update.
27/17/10 ACE 331 in the July update.
Both slightly above the 1965-2017 norm.
Will the numbers continue to increase?
Last edited by euro6208 on Thu Aug 02, 2018 9:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- mrbagyo
- Category 5
- Posts: 3617
- Age: 32
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
- Location: 14.13N 120.98E
- Contact:
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
NotoSans wrote:39 years ago, the center of Typhoon Hope made landfall over the northeastern part of Hong Kong. It's one of the most severe typhoons affecting the region, and below are some photos showing the damages brought by this monster.
[ig]http://multimedia.scmp.com/typhoons/img/1/hope_1.1200.jpg[/img]
[mg]https://cdn.hk01.com/di/media/images/171861/org/8aa3f0cd6a02a08c61f2ac1e567fdca5.jpg/3yNUJCLndZxXncr7O12gg02Crp8_7je2_xF4TP8ReEw?v=w1280[/img]
The typhoon had maintained a concentric eyewall structure before making landfall, as shown in the radar imagery below.
[ig]https://cdn.hk01.com/di/media/images/171865/org/5d2cea868f6405900075e44f0170c40a.png/nKiIcCaJEOpUu57UfoUBTkfT7dc9zmAJDaVBnA2lQZw?v=w1280[/img]
Nice, you may also post that in the Tropical Cyclone-Related Anniversaries [Five-year Intervals Only]
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
System #1 making landfall over Hainan Island with System #2 developing in the P.I sea.
#2 stronger. Another Japan threat?
#2 stronger. Another Japan threat?
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
NAVGEM also has the same solution.
GfS does a fujiwhara with both systems.
GfS does a fujiwhara with both systems.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
A surface trough east of Wake Island and in the extreme western portion of the Central Pacific basin is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms [this area is not an invest area at this time]. An area of low pressure is expected to form along this trough as it crosses the International Date Line and enters the Western Pacific basin (see attached 48 hour forecast from the U.S. Ocean Prediction Center, with the area circled in orange), with most of the global models intensifying it to gale force by late Friday.
Conditions are expected to be conducive for some development of this system as it moves north-northwestward over the eastern portion of the basin, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form this weekend before the system begins interacting with a cold front.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- 1900hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 6044
- Age: 33
- Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
- Location: Houston, TX
- Contact:
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
I'm thinking it's about a coin flip that Hector ends up entering the WPac.
0 likes
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS has no fujiwhara now.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
-
- Category 1
- Posts: 252
- Joined: Fri May 11, 2018 9:20 pm
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
euro6208 wrote:GFS has no fujiwhara now.
Level Altitude 850 mb 5,000 feet above sea level.
https://imgur.com/Yc8CZnu
projected wind @10 metres height is likely a better indication of strength.
0 likes
- mrbagyo
- Category 5
- Posts: 3617
- Age: 32
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
- Location: 14.13N 120.98E
- Contact:
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Why's there no mention about that system near 20N 173E?
Looks quite a bit organized to be ignored
Looks quite a bit organized to be ignored
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
- 1900hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 6044
- Age: 33
- Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
- Location: Houston, TX
- Contact:
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Euro actually posted about it a few posts up, although I haven't looked at it much yet. ASCAT hit it earlier and still showed it as a pretty broad inverted trough still, but something could come of it.
0 likes
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Double terror continues.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS again shows binary interaction with both systems with eventual landfall over mainland Japan.
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1025344199938519040
The WPAC seems to be the unknown out of all the active basins in this updated forecast.
Maybe more easterly developing systems typical during el nino years if this el nino truly transpire and high precipitation anomalies extend to the CPAC?
The WPAC seems to be the unknown out of all the active basins in this updated forecast.
Maybe more easterly developing systems typical during el nino years if this el nino truly transpire and high precipitation anomalies extend to the CPAC?
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: bohai, Brent, Emmett_Brown, floridasun, Google Adsense [Bot], HurakaYoshi, IcyTundra, LarryWx, RomP, StormWeather, Teban54, Wampadawg, Woofde, wxman57 and 97 guests