2018 EPAC Season
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15462
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
For the next 10 days, 240 hours, the 12z Euro has very favorable VP anomalies over the EPAC and CPAC. Not a single sinking anomaly present.
3 likes
RIP Kobe Bryant
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
As of 21:00 UTC advisory of Hurricane Hector,it has 10.0 ACE units and EPac as a whole has returned to above average since Fabio on early July.
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- 1900hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 6044
- Age: 33
- Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
- Location: Houston, TX
- Contact:
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Beautiful case of monsoon trough breakdown.
5 likes
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
- Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7285
- Age: 43
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
1900hurricane wrote:Beautiful case of monsoon trough breakdown.
Looks like multiple systems in the making and models show more behind 11e
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Always Lixon has his particular wording.
@canedancerlix
Ready for my R shift with several east pacific tropical cyclones. Atlantic unusually clear
https://twitter.com/canedancerlix/status/1026174074966425600
@canedancerlix
Ready for my R shift with several east pacific tropical cyclones. Atlantic unusually clear
https://twitter.com/canedancerlix/status/1026174074966425600
3 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
2018 season is at 9/4/3 with now TS Ileana and #10 will come very soon with TD-12-E. Hector will keep adding a lot of ACE while the other systems will do their part to boost even more the EPac totals.As of this post is at 51.9 and Hector has 15.1 units.
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Looks like we just about have John. 10/4/3. John is going to make a run at Major so could be sitting at 10/5/4 soon. ACE will go haywire with Hector.
2 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Ileanna isn't in the image but just to show the craziness going on
2 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Questions about Hector to clarify things.
1- When it cross the dateline to the West Pacific,EPac continues to get ACE or WPac takes it?
2- Will Hector change the name in that same situation?
1- When it cross the dateline to the West Pacific,EPac continues to get ACE or WPac takes it?
2- Will Hector change the name in that same situation?
2 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
WPAC will take it, and Hector will remain Hector.
3 likes
DISCLAIMER: I am not a meteorologist. Any posts I made, unless copied from some official agency, are only my opinion and is unofficial and often exaggerated. Please refer to your official RSMC for official products and warnings.
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Yeah it it will remain Hector but re titled as Typhoon Hector and ACE goes to WPAC generated past the IDL.
4 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Ok thanks for the clarification.
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
I thought that Ileana with John nearby would only be a wimpy storm but will be a Hurricane to add even more ACE to EPac. This shows how favorable the basin is at this moment having this big burst.
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Recon is flying into Hector today, could find a more intense storm than what satellites estimate. Also John and Ileanna could become hurricanes so not impossible 3 simultaneous HU by this evening.
0 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
After Hector crosses the WPAC and following the dissipation of Ileana and John, I'd estimate the ACE would climb up to 100 units. The weakening anticipated by the NHC for Hector isn't materializing, and recon could likely find a category five hurricane (or at least close to) as it strengthens south of Hawaii.
1 likes
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
- Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15462
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
00z EPS showing a strong long tracker by day 12. Can't afford to have these systems linger near Mexico because they keep wasting their opportunities.
2 likes
RIP Kobe Bryant
- Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15462
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Past couple of operational GFS and Euro runs haven't shown much in the medium and large range. But I would still bet on development due to the GFS showing a large WWB over the dateline and the Euro continuing to show rising VP anomalies over the EPAC for the next 10 days.
1 likes
RIP Kobe Bryant
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Hector has surpassed the most ACE system so far in 2018 in the globe and that was Maria in WPac that got 35.8 units while Hector as of 21:00 UTC advisory had 36.5 and will keep adding more in the next few days.
2 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
Did the burst of activity not counting Hector met the expectations the peeps had?
1- Ileana was a semi surprise as almost was a Hurricane but thanks to John it vanished.
2-John did not lived to the high expectation to be a major cane.
3- Kristy expected the way it has done.
It was a good burst but not the stronger one I was expecting.
1- Ileana was a semi surprise as almost was a Hurricane but thanks to John it vanished.
2-John did not lived to the high expectation to be a major cane.
3- Kristy expected the way it has done.
It was a good burst but not the stronger one I was expecting.
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: 2018 EPAC Season
ACE wise has been pretty good with almost 50. Hector alone will likely continue to deliver it before it crosses the IDL. John was probably the one not living to expections, it seems in the far eastern Pacific when there are multiple systems it is tougher for one to really take off lately. The power struggles fending each other off . For a 1-2 week period it has been rather active.
7 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: cheezyWXguy, Google Adsense [Bot], MetroMike, mitchell, RomP, Stratton23, WiscoWx02 and 39 guests