CPAC: LANE - Post-Tropical

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supercane4867
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#961 Postby supercane4867 » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:50 pm

Lane's eye is torching on satellite imagery. No surprise that Recon found a stronger storm.

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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#962 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:51 pm

looking at satellite and recon.. it also looks like it has started the gradual turn to the wnw.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#963 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:52 pm

Image

Recon aside this is T6.5. If W was thicker on the west, this would be a T7.0.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#964 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:54 pm

Recon found a MSLP of 924mb, unflagged 140 knots; flagged 148 knots.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#965 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:54 pm

Eye temp approaching 18ºC per ADT.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#966 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:56 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Recon found a MSLP of 924mb, unflagged 140 knots; flagged 148 knots.


I'd go with a TC Update with a 145 kt intensity there.
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#967 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:57 pm

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1032006481493684224


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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#968 Postby Dylan » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:58 pm

 https://twitter.com/dylanfedericowx/status/1032038938842677251


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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#969 Postby Twisted-core » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:02 pm

AJC3 wrote:
Alyono wrote:
Yellow Evan wrote:
Johnston makes the most sense. Christmas Island is in the AUS.


there is a Christmas Island south of Hawaii, in the Line Islands


Interesting...supposedly the airstrip at Johnston has been unmaintained for 15 years, and I don't know what facilities they would have there now to support even an emergency landing.

Can Bonriki (Christmas/Kiribati) service military aircraft? Because it's either that or...Midway, I guess? Better yet, C-130's have been able to safely land on a carrier.... :D


Enjoy your posts AJC3 they always make sense without all the semantics.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#970 Postby NotoSans » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:04 pm

Central pressure down to 929mb now as suggested by latest center dropsonde. Central pressure has fallen at a rate of ~3.5mb/hour over the past few hours.
Last edited by NotoSans on Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#971 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:07 pm

This is truly a nightmare scenario. The aftermath would be worse than the storm itself - they are 2,000+ miles from any kind of help.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#972 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:08 pm

Well this is for sure going to make it a cat. 5 for the intermediate advisory.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#973 Postby OahuWahine » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:08 pm

Just got back from a frustrating supply run. Sam's Club is out of water and D batteries and Wal-Mart is out of flashlights. Luckily I have a couple cases of water already and a few flashlights Still need to hit the hardware store for plywood. Hopefully they're not out. Glad to see people are taking this threat seriously.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#974 Postby supercane4867 » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:11 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:This is truly a nightmare scenario. The aftermath would be worse than the storm itself - they are 2,000+ miles from any kind of help.

I think the best case scenario by now is for Lane to be rip apart by the Big Island. At least they can evacuate residents in the landfall area to the leeward side.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#975 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:12 pm

OahuWahine wrote:Just got back from a frustrating supply run. Sam's Club is out of water and D batteries and Wal-Mart is out of flashlights. Luckily I have a couple cases of water already and a few flashlights Still need to hit the hardware store for plywood. Hopefully they're not out. Glad to see people are taking this threat seriously.


Are you buying sandbags too?
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#976 Postby Mauistorms » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:14 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
OahuWahine wrote:Just got back from a frustrating supply run. Sam's Club is out of water and D batteries and Wal-Mart is out of flashlights. Luckily I have a couple cases of water already and a few flashlights Still need to hit the hardware store for plywood. Hopefully they're not out. Glad to see people are taking this threat seriously.


Are you buying sandbags too?


Where can we get sandbags? I'm on maui... anyone know?
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#977 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:18 pm

Mauistorms wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:
OahuWahine wrote:Just got back from a frustrating supply run. Sam's Club is out of water and D batteries and Wal-Mart is out of flashlights. Luckily I have a couple cases of water already and a few flashlights Still need to hit the hardware store for plywood. Hopefully they're not out. Glad to see people are taking this threat seriously.


Are you buying sandbags too?


Where can we get sandbags? I'm on maui... anyone know?


Try call Grace Pacific.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#978 Postby SootyTern » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:23 pm

Mauistorms wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:
OahuWahine wrote:Just got back from a frustrating supply run. Sam's Club is out of water and D batteries and Wal-Mart is out of flashlights. Luckily I have a couple cases of water already and a few flashlights Still need to hit the hardware store for plywood. Hopefully they're not out. Glad to see people are taking this threat seriously.


Are you buying sandbags too?


Where can we get sandbags? I'm on maui... anyone know?


Link to the hurricane preparation forum; I haven't read everything on it and it probably has a mainland bias but there could be some useful info:

viewforum.php?f=30
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#979 Postby Chris90 » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:24 pm

Mauistorms wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:
OahuWahine wrote:Just got back from a frustrating supply run. Sam's Club is out of water and D batteries and Wal-Mart is out of flashlights. Luckily I have a couple cases of water already and a few flashlights Still need to hit the hardware store for plywood. Hopefully they're not out. Glad to see people are taking this threat seriously.


Are you buying sandbags too?


Where can we get sandbags? I'm on maui... anyone know?


I did a Google search real quick. There's something called GP Roadway solutions that seems to sell sandbags. Their Maui branch is located on 23 La'a street in Kahului.
Said to call first though if you want them pre-filled.
Phone number for that branch: (808) 873-7461

Don't know if that is close to you or not though.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane

#980 Postby supercane4867 » Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:25 pm

18Z HWRF shows less weakening while passing the Big Island to the west and have a CAT1 making landfall on Maui
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