Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

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wxman57
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#101 Postby wxman57 » Sat Sep 01, 2018 1:01 pm

Steve wrote:WxMan,

Is there not a hint of a surface rotation in the NW Gulf? This was what I was using.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/sfcplots/

Turning on visible is noted in that area. Maybe it’s higher up, but that coupled with the Tropical Tidbits surface plots looked to me that there was cyclonic surface turning. Maybe if it’s in the mid levels those wind obs are thunderstorm induced?


I'm not seeing anything significant. With so many scattered showers, outflow boundaries may give the illusion of an LLC at times.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#102 Postby GCANE » Sat Sep 01, 2018 1:26 pm

Pretty strong convection now firing off in the west GOM under divergent, anti-cyclonic UL winds.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#103 Postby GCANE » Sat Sep 01, 2018 1:33 pm

14 knot west winds on this buoy

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#104 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Sat Sep 01, 2018 1:37 pm

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#105 Postby Frank P » Sat Sep 01, 2018 1:59 pm

one of dozens of storms rolling in on the Biloxi beach from the GOM the past 3 days or so... taken from about 250 feet up..

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#106 Postby wxman57 » Sat Sep 01, 2018 2:22 pm

Any rotation you're seeing in the satellite loop is related to the upper-level low. Nothing at the surface, and this system will be inland tomorrow.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#107 Postby lrak » Sat Sep 01, 2018 4:37 pm

wxman57 wrote:Any rotation you're seeing in the satellite loop is related to the upper-level low. Nothing at the surface, and this system will be inland tomorrow.


Wow I really thought it was going to do it. Had no idea about the upper level low. Mr.wxman57 usually there's not this much convection with an ULL. Why so much? The GOM looks crazy I can't imagine an ULL doing this over land? If you got some layman's terms for I'd appreciate it :) Also at your convenience 8-)
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#108 Postby GCANE » Sat Sep 01, 2018 5:06 pm

Pressure going down in the west GOM

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#109 Postby Nimbus » Sat Sep 01, 2018 5:08 pm

At sunset you can see an area near 21N -72.6 low levels under some light shear, this may be the area that will be investigated in the gulf tomorrow evening if it continues WNW.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#110 Postby GCANE » Sat Sep 01, 2018 5:09 pm

Here's the current UL winds

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#111 Postby lrak » Sat Sep 01, 2018 5:19 pm

The satellite, buoys, and radar makes it look like something is just about 200 miles or so east/n/east of coastal bend. We sure could use that and I do hope it moves onshore tomorrow like wxman57 said.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#112 Postby Nimbus » Sat Sep 01, 2018 5:35 pm

lrak wrote:The satellite, buoys, and radar makes it look like something is just about 200 miles or so east/n/east of coastal bend. We sure could use that and I do hope it moves onshore tomorrow like wxman57 said.


The dry air mass over Texas would keep the west side inflow inhibited even if.
Now if we had a 1010 mb surface low mid gulf that wasn't moving inland tomorrow..
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#113 Postby lrak » Sat Sep 01, 2018 5:39 pm

Nimbus wrote:
lrak wrote:The satellite, buoys, and radar makes it look like something is just about 200 miles or so east/n/east of coastal bend. We sure could use that and I do hope it moves onshore tomorrow like wxman57 said.


The dry air mass over Texas would keep the west side inflow inhibited even if.
Now if we had a 1010 mb surface low mid gulf that wasn't moving inland tomorrow..


Oh....thank you. Our weather service upped our rain chances is the only reason I was speculating of course. 8-) I just want to go surfing ?><+_ ?> :grr: I'll even take wind chop slop at this point. It's so addictive
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#114 Postby Steve » Sun Sep 02, 2018 3:13 am

We rolled it to Grand Isle. I got here late so most of the shower activity had died off. But we have gotten a couple of bands come through. It’s probably only gusting to 20, but the tides are up. Showers are reforming offshore which should get us in on some nasty weather because we are right on the gulf. If there’s any bands worth shooting dayside, I’ll try to get some video.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#115 Postby Blinhart » Sun Sep 02, 2018 5:26 am

Could this ULL open the path for future 91L/TD7
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#116 Postby GCANE » Sun Sep 02, 2018 6:59 am

Still offshore.
Nice blow up and mid-level spin.

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#117 Postby Blinhart » Sun Sep 02, 2018 7:18 am

GCANE wrote:Still offshore.
Nice blow up and mid-level spin.

Image


And I'm almost due south of that white spot at the coast, and just getting a light rain right now. Amazing what 25 miles (as the crow flies) makes in the difference in weather.
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#118 Postby GCANE » Sun Sep 02, 2018 7:57 am

I dunno, might have a warm core.
28.5N 92.5W

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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#119 Postby Blinhart » Sun Sep 02, 2018 8:08 am

Could it in post season analysis be upgraded to a TD or TS?
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Re: Disturbed weather in the GOMEX

#120 Postby GCANE » Sun Sep 02, 2018 8:25 am

I think its going for one last shot
Pressure is about 1012mb


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