
ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical
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- MississippiWx
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.
yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.
yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.
You'll need to look at the highest resolution you can, but look underneath the cirrus clouds just to the east of the blow-up over Cuba. The low level clouds are racing from the WSW.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
MississippiWx wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.
yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.
You'll need to look at the highest resolution you can, but look underneath the cirrus clouds just to the east of the blow-up over Cuba. The low level clouds are racing from the WSW.
Right.. though it could just be an outflow boundary.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
There is evidence of a LLC, probably a depression but the low could be enlongated but if so it could be a depression or storm the next 12 to 24 hrs
I would go 80/90 with this and star advisories at 5
I would go 80/90 with this and star advisories at 5
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
very few observations at the moment. there is only one that is showing a SSW to Sw wind. unable to tell how legit that observation is.


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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
D r e z e e
What barrier/low lying islands are you thinking might need to be evacuated?
What barrier/low lying islands are you thinking might need to be evacuated?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
It's moving so close to Cuba that the drag from the island is probably helping to spin it up
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
I’m not seeing anything close to a llc yet but the mid level circulation will likely work it’s way down by tonight, if the t-storms continue over the same area.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-101
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING SE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 03/1500Z A. 03/2200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. NOAA2 0207A CYCLONE
C. 03/1230Z C. 03/2030Z
D. 24.7N 80.7W D. 25.6N 82.1W
E. 03/1430Z TO 03/1900Z E. 03/2130Z TO 04/0130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 72 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 03/2330Z,04/0530Z A. 04/1000Z
B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0407A CYCLONE
C. 03/2130Z C. 04/0830Z
D. 25.8N 82.5W D. 27.1N 84.8W
E. 03/2300Z TO 04/0530Z E. 04/0930Z TO 04/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 73
A. 04/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0507A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 27.3N 85.3W
E. 04/1100Z TO 04/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. ANOTHER POSSIBLE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
IN SUSPECT AREA
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-101
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING SE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 03/1500Z A. 03/2200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. NOAA2 0207A CYCLONE
C. 03/1230Z C. 03/2030Z
D. 24.7N 80.7W D. 25.6N 82.1W
E. 03/1430Z TO 03/1900Z E. 03/2130Z TO 04/0130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 72 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 03/2330Z,04/0530Z A. 04/1000Z
B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0407A CYCLONE
C. 03/2130Z C. 04/0830Z
D. 25.8N 82.5W D. 27.1N 84.8W
E. 03/2300Z TO 04/0530Z E. 04/0930Z TO 04/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 73
A. 04/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0507A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 27.3N 85.3W
E. 04/1100Z TO 04/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. ANOTHER POSSIBLE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
IN SUSPECT AREA
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
It al begins on Monday afternoon and from the first mission,there are other ones as the Sunday September 2 TCPOD shows.
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT SUN 02 SEPTEMBER 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-101
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING SE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 03/1500Z A. 03/2200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. NOAA2 0207A CYCLONE
C. 03/1230Z C. 03/2030Z
D. 24.7N 80.7W D. 25.6N 82.1W
E. 03/1430Z TO 03/1900Z E. 03/2130Z TO 04/0130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 72 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 03/2330Z,04/0530Z A. 04/1000Z
B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0407A CYCLONE
C. 03/2130Z C. 04/0830Z
D. 25.8N 82.5W D. 27.1N 84.8W
E. 03/2300Z TO 04/0530Z E. 04/0930Z TO 04/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 73
A. 04/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0507A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 27.3N 85.3W
E. 04/1100Z TO 04/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. ANOTHER POSSIBLE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
IN SUSPECT AREA DEPARTING KLAL AT 04/2030Z.
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT SUN 02 SEPTEMBER 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-101
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING SE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 03/1500Z A. 03/2200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. NOAA2 0207A CYCLONE
C. 03/1230Z C. 03/2030Z
D. 24.7N 80.7W D. 25.6N 82.1W
E. 03/1430Z TO 03/1900Z E. 03/2130Z TO 04/0130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 72 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 03/2330Z,04/0530Z A. 04/1000Z
B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0407A CYCLONE
C. 03/2130Z C. 04/0830Z
D. 25.8N 82.5W D. 27.1N 84.8W
E. 03/2300Z TO 04/0530Z E. 04/0930Z TO 04/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 73
A. 04/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0507A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 27.3N 85.3W
E. 04/1100Z TO 04/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. ANOTHER POSSIBLE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
IN SUSPECT AREA DEPARTING KLAL AT 04/2030Z.
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ATL: INVEST 91L - RECON
716
NOUS42 KNHC 021630
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT SUN 02 SEPTEMBER 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-101
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING SE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 03/1500Z A. 03/2200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. NOAA2 0207A CYCLONE
C. 03/1230Z C. 03/2030Z
D. 24.7N 80.7W D. 25.6N 82.1W
E. 03/1430Z TO 03/1900Z E. 03/2130Z TO 04/0130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 72 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 03/2330Z,04/0530Z A. 04/1000Z
B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0407A CYCLONE
C. 03/2130Z C. 04/0830Z
D. 25.8N 82.5W D. 27.1N 84.8W
E. 03/2300Z TO 04/0530Z E. 04/0930Z TO 04/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 73
A. 04/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0507A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 27.3N 85.3W
E. 04/1100Z TO 04/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. ANOTHER POSSIBLE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
IN SUSPECT AREA DEPARTING KLAL AT 04/2030Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A NOAA 49 G-IV SYNOPTIC
SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND HURRICANE NORMAN FOR 05/0000Z
DEPARTING PHNL AT 04/1730Z.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 12-HRLY FIXES ON NORMAN AT
05/1800Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
NOUS42 KNHC 021630
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT SUN 02 SEPTEMBER 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-101
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING SE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 03/1500Z A. 03/2200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. NOAA2 0207A CYCLONE
C. 03/1230Z C. 03/2030Z
D. 24.7N 80.7W D. 25.6N 82.1W
E. 03/1430Z TO 03/1900Z E. 03/2130Z TO 04/0130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 72 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 03/2330Z,04/0530Z A. 04/1000Z
B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0407A CYCLONE
C. 03/2130Z C. 04/0830Z
D. 25.8N 82.5W D. 27.1N 84.8W
E. 03/2300Z TO 04/0530Z E. 04/0930Z TO 04/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 73
A. 04/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0507A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 27.3N 85.3W
E. 04/1100Z TO 04/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. ANOTHER POSSIBLE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
IN SUSPECT AREA DEPARTING KLAL AT 04/2030Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A NOAA 49 G-IV SYNOPTIC
SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND HURRICANE NORMAN FOR 05/0000Z
DEPARTING PHNL AT 04/1730Z.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 12-HRLY FIXES ON NORMAN AT
05/1800Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - RECON
Already there has been a thread since Saturday.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
MississippiWx wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.
yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.
You'll need to look at the highest resolution you can, but look underneath the cirrus clouds just to the east of the blow-up over Cuba. The low level clouds are racing from the WSW.
the last 30 min or so.. starting to show more and more ene motion the low level Cu clouds along the coast.

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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
Ukmet rides it down from new Iberia down upper Texas coast then to corpus
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:MississippiWx wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:
yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.
You'll need to look at the highest resolution you can, but look underneath the cirrus clouds just to the east of the blow-up over Cuba. The low level clouds are racing from the WSW.
the last 30 min or so.. starting to show more and more ene motion the low level Cu clouds along the coast.
https://image.ibb.co/cOXzpe/7777777777.gif
So what is the meaing behind what you just said.
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.
Maybe I'm going blind but I can't see it.
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- MississippiWx
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.
Maybe I'm going blind but I can't see it.
You can't see it on the gif Aric just posted? If not, maybe you are going blind. Lol.
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This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
Gonzo will fly late Monday afternoon to sample the upper enviroment.
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- Clearcloudz
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
ASCAT scan shows a weak circulation on the south west edge.


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