Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic (now Invest 92L)
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- galaxy401
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Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic (now Invest 92L)
Is this the one that models have been developing behind Florence? This might need to be watched in the long term.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 2 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located along the west coast of Africa is forecast
to move westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic for the next
several days. Upper-level winds are expected to gradually become
more conducive for some slow development of this disturbance by the
middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 2 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located along the west coast of Africa is forecast
to move westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic for the next
several days. Upper-level winds are expected to gradually become
more conducive for some slow development of this disturbance by the
middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- CyclonicFury
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Re: Tropical Wave Moving Off Africa
The 00z Euro seemed to weakly develop this wave, but is stronger with the wave behind this one.
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
- cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave Moving Off Africa
galaxy401 wrote:Is this the one that models have been developing behind Florence? This might need to be watched in the long term.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 2 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located along the west coast of Africa is forecast
to move westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic for the next
several days. Upper-level winds are expected to gradually become
more conducive for some slow development of this disturbance by the
middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
The one behind this one is what Euro has developing.
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- galaxy401
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Re: Tropical Wave Moving Off Africa
Yeah that's what I thought. I knew there were two waves behind Florence that could develop and the second one is the one the models are keen on.
Still, got to see what this one does.
Still, got to see what this one does.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- Hurricaneman
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Re: Tropical Wave Moving Off Africa
galaxy401 wrote:Yeah that's what I thought. I knew there were two waves behind Florence that could develop and the second one is the one the models are keen on.
Still, got to see what this one does.
Might have the wave behind take the moisture and develop so it’s a complex situation
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Re: Tropical Wave Moving Off Africa
NHC has tagged the wave near the coast (black line). The GFS and Euro want to develop the next one (blue line).
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- cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave Moving Off Africa
A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves westward across the eastern tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the next
several days while it moves westward across the eastern tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Re: Tropical Wave Moving Off Africa
00z Euro has this wave making the splash in 24 hours and develops this into a 1004mb TS in 5 days.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Irene '99, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Irma '17 (storms I remember my area getting hurricane force winds/gusts).
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and shouldn't be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the experts.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and shouldn't be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the experts.
- cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic
A tropical wave located more than 400 miles southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is
possible during the next several days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is
possible during the next several days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Re: Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic
Euro and GFS show it approaching the Lesser Antilles, GFS goes poof with it after that though. Canadian shows nada, FV3 GFS sends it into S. Florida as a Cat 3 hurricane.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic
All the atention for Gordon and on lesser degree on Florence is justified but this wave has to be watched down the road. It looks fairly good.Maybe a sleeper?
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Re: Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic
cycloneye wrote:All the atention for Gordon and on lesser degree on Florence is justified but this wave has to be watched down the road. It looks fairly good.Maybe a sleeper?
It also has an upper-level anticyclone. SST's are fairly warm, around 27-28C, SAL is confined to higher latitudes, and shear shouldn't be an issue for now. We'll have to wait and see how it evolves.
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- vbhoutex
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Re: Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic
I haven't looked deeply at this one, but it sure does need to be watched imo. Good points from all.
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- galaxy401
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Re: Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic
Up to 10/40 now.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 3 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located more than 400 miles southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is
possible during the next several days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 3 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located more than 400 miles southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is
possible during the next several days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139720
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic
galaxy401 wrote:Up to 10/40 now.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 3 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located more than 400 miles southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is
possible during the next several days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: Tropical Wave over the Far Eastern Atlantic
It is now Invest 92L.
AL, 92, 2018090318, , BEST, 0, 108N, 185W, 25, 1005, LO
AL, 92, 2018090318, , BEST, 0, 108N, 185W, 25, 1005, LO
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