ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#681 Postby RL3AO » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:08 am

drezee wrote:As a southerner "born and raised", most people have no idea what a storm surge warning is and ignore watches, unfortunately. They move when the news says Hurricane Warning...


A warning by definition is issued about 24 hours before impacts start. If people choose to wait until tomorrow morning then that is their fault. The NHC can lead a horse to water....
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#682 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:08 am

Recon is finding intense rainfall rates
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#683 Postby artist » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:10 am

Image
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#684 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:10 am

drezee wrote:Recon is finding intense rainfall rates


Whoa!!

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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#685 Postby toad strangler » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:10 am

Getting in on outermost NE precip in Port St. Lucie now.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#686 Postby SoupBone » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:11 am

GCANE wrote:
tolakram wrote:The floater has been moved so the map is not showing, but in a way this gives a better view of how Gordon is developing.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso-meso2-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined


Not even close to any kind of shear.



The shear, as others mentioned over the last several days, has been moving in step with the system, slowly lessening in its path. If you can see trending, it's likely for that to continue.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#687 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:12 am

For reference:
Rapid intensification is a meteorological condition that occurs when a tropical cyclone intensifies dramatically in a short period of time. The United States National Hurricane Center defines rapid intensification as an increase in the maximum sustained winds of a tropical cyclone of at least 30 knots (35 mph; 55 km/h) in a 24-hour period.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#688 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:15 am

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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#689 Postby artist » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:18 am

URNT15 KNHC 031613
AF307 0107A GORDON HDOB 23 20180903
160330 2630N 07954W 9069 01010 0199 +176 +176 147030 035 034 020 00
160400 2632N 07954W 9082 01003 0197 +183 //// 127027 029 034 008 01
160430 2633N 07954W 9080 01003 0189 +188 +184 130031 031 022 003 01
160500 2635N 07954W 9082 01001 0188 +190 +176 128031 031 023 003 00
160530 2637N 07954W 9080 01004 0188 +190 +175 127030 031 020 004 00
160600 2639N 07954W 9081 01003 0188 +192 +179 127031 031 022 001 00
160630 2640N 07954W 9080 01005 0188 +192 +179 124031 031 021 001 00
160700 2642N 07954W 9081 01003 0188 +190 +181 124031 031 020 000 00
160730 2644N 07954W 9081 01003 0188 +190 +181 124031 031 020 001 00
160800 2645N 07954W 9082 01003 0189 +192 +178 125031 031 021 000 00
160830 2647N 07954W 9082 01004 0191 +195 +175 126029 031 017 002 03
160900 2648N 07953W 9076 01009 0190 +195 +169 127027 028 019 002 00
160930 2648N 07951W 9083 01004 0189 +197 +170 126028 028 019 001 00
161000 2648N 07950W 9084 01003 0189 +199 +166 119029 030 020 002 00
161030 2648N 07948W 9076 01011 0190 +196 +166 123028 030 023 001 00
161100 2648N 07947W 9081 01006 0192 +195 +171 124027 027 024 001 00
161130 2649N 07945W 9081 01007 0194 +195 +173 124028 029 027 001 00
161200 2649N 07943W 9080 01010 0195 +194 +166 128029 031 026 001 00
161230 2649N 07942W 9081 01008 0195 +190 +171 132033 033 026 001 00
161300 2649N 07940W 9081 01009 0196 +193 +166 132032 033 026 002 00
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#690 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:18 am

Hmm, interesting turn to the east by recon.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#691 Postby Highteeld » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:19 am

Image

Already intensifying.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#692 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:20 am

Radar shows Gordon is quickly developing the beginnings of an inner core
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#693 Postby plasticup » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:24 am

drezee wrote:For reference:
Rapid intensification is a meteorological condition that occurs when a tropical cyclone intensifies dramatically in a short period of time. The United States National Hurricane Center defines rapid intensification as an increase in the maximum sustained winds of a tropical cyclone of at least 30 knots (35 mph; 55 km/h) in a 24-hour period.

What makes you think of RI here?
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#694 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:25 am

Highteeld wrote:https://i.imgur.com/s7xcubf.png

Already intensifying.


No doubt
https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#695 Postby psyclone » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:25 am

Looking better by the hour
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#696 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:25 am

GCANE wrote:Hmm, interesting turn to the east by recon.
east?
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#697 Postby PSUHiker31 » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:27 am

I'm not saying Gordon will get anywhere near this strong, but watching it develop... Where it is, its size, and now that tiny proto inner core makes me wonder if we had these tools in 1935 if the Labor Day hurricane would have looked very similar
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#698 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:28 am

I go to bed when the center was rapidly organizing east of southernmost florida thinking..i bet when i wake up its going to have an eyewall lol.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#699 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:29 am

After refreshing 200 times I was finally able to get a NEXRAD loop from Wunderground.

Saved loop.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#700 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:29 am

Warm core hanging in there

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