ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

[bella_may]

From hurricane tracker app:
The area between New Orleans and Mobile needs to prepare now for the worst. #Gordon may be rapidly intensifying and is likely on its way to #hurricane strength.

[caneman]

I'm curious to see the pressure fall from recon and over the next couple hours before I start calling for anything over 70 KT at peak, but I've been wrong about 7 times already today so you can ignore me.

You know what I love about you? The ability to admit you make mistakes. You have a humbleness to you

[CrazyC83]

From hurricane tracker app:
The area between New Orleans and Mobile needs to prepare now for the worst. #Gordon may be rapidly intensifying and is likely on its way to #hurricane strength.

Given the tiny size and angle of approach, they don't have to go very far inland to escape it either (especially in eastern areas).

[GCANE]

Recon showing 1004mb. Last Vortex message with 1010mb.

[BYG Jacob]

Recon showing 1004mb. Last Vortex message with 1010mb.

Missed the center though.

[AtlanticWind]

Euro coming in further east, If this is stronger than forecast could be a fl panhandle landfall

Looks like MS.

I agree right now , but think some chance it ends up a little further east.

[tarheelprogrammer]

Recon showing 1004mb. Last Vortex message with 1010mb.

Recon appears to have missed the center though, or am I wrong?

[SoupBone]

Euro coming in further east, If this is stronger than forecast could be a fl panhandle landfall

Looks like MS.

Some are saying further West due to a ridge building in the Florida panhandle area.

[Blinhart]

What would cause this system to move so quickly??? I don't see it making it to the Coast by tomorrow evening.

[HurricaneEric]

The concerning thing isn’t what Gordon’s current strength is. It’s still a mid-tier TS.

I’m more concerned that now that it’s structurally organized without any obstacles from here until the North Gulf Coast that it can absolutely RI.

Crazy how SFL literally does nothing to hinder tropical cyclones.


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[stormhunter7]

Recon did a loop in CoC. Definitely small eye... Waiting to see dropsonde data

[RL3AO]

I'm curious to see the pressure fall from recon and over the next couple hours before I start calling for anything over 70 KT at peak, but I've been wrong about 7 times already today so you can ignore me.

You know what I love about you? The ability to admit you make mistakes. You have a humbleness to you

Thanks. It's also a bit easier when you're not being paid for your forecasts.

[CrazyC83]

Here's the steering flow for a cat 1 hurricane (given tiny size assumed pressure in the 990s):

[SoupBone]

The concerning thing isn’t what Gordon’s current strength is. It’s still a mid-tier TS.

I’m more concerned that now that it’s structurally organized without any obstacles from here until the North Gulf Coast that it can absolutely RI.

Crazy how SFL literally does nothing to hinder tropical cyclones.


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Flat, swampy, heat laden land mass. Not perfect for development, but certainly won't hinder it.

[SoupBone]

Here's the steering flow for a cat 1 hurricane (given tiny size assumed pressure in the 990s):

So looking at that, a panhandle landfall certainly isn't off the table if it rides that on the edge?

[blp]

Eyewall evolution saved. Amazing, this is what I find so fascinating when nature defies expectations.

[Blinhart]

Here's the steering flow for a cat 1 hurricane (given tiny size assumed pressure in the 990s):

So if I'm reading it correctly, it would be for Central Louisiana landfall with that.

[Kazmit]

Eyewall evolution saved. Amazing.

That is a tiny core!

[Steve]

Euro coming in further east, If this is stronger than forecast could be a fl panhandle landfall

Looks like MS.

Some are saying further West due to a ridge building in the Florida panhandle area.

Yeah. Some models have consistently shown a “notch” around the SW part of the high where Gordon will be. I don’t have a call at this point which is pretty weak of me with like 36 hours to go. MS Coast looks like the safest bet give or take 50 miles.

[drezee]

Center Ingesting a little dry air. Will rebound in 6 hours...