ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

[bella_may]

wondering if Gordon is no longer stacked, and that is the mid level going off to the north and the low level still moving NW... speculation on my part but he sure does not look good on the sat loops as he had earlier..mho

We must be looking at different loops

[slamdaddy]

And so it beings...pressure slowly falling now, down to 1016.1mb

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
100 PM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...OUTER RAINBANDS PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE
COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 87.3W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

[GCANE]

[SunnyThoughts]

Intermediate advisory ...winds 65mph 1001 mb moving NW

[Frank P]

latest update NW movement, no change
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 87.3W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

[wx98]

Don’t blow my head off, but in my opinion, this is just not as strong as the NHC has it. Looks more like 45 kt, 1005 mb to me at this point.

[Stormcenter]

I think you are correct.

wondering if Gordon is no longer stacked, and that is the mid level going off to the north and the low level still moving NW... speculation on my part but he sure does not look good on the sat loops as he had earlier..mho

[AxaltaRacing24]

Don’t blow my head off, but in my opinion, this is just not as strong as the NHC has it. Looks more like 45 kt, 1005 mb to me at this point.

I know it may “look” like it’s only 45kts, but they literally have a plane inside the storm right now. Those readings are far more accurate than looks.

[PTrackerLA]

Almost looks like outflow boundaries shooting west towards Louisiana and also some southerly shear on the southern half of Gordon on visible. I also expected the LLC to appear much "tighter" than it is now. Add me to the not impressed camp as of midday Tuesday, we'll see what he looks like this evening.

[wx98]

Don’t blow my head off, but in my opinion, this is just not as strong as the NHC has it. Looks more like 45 kt, 1005 mb to me at this point.

I know it may “look” like it’s only 45kts, but they literally have a plane inside the storm right now. Those readings are far more accurate than looks.

Looks based off what I see from recon, not satellite...

[Steve]

Almost looks like outflow boundaries shooting west towards Louisiana and also some southerly shear on the southern half of Gordon on visible. I also expected the LLC to appear much "tighter" than it is now. Add me to the not impressed camp as of midday Tuesday, we'll see what he looks like this evening.

I think they are feeder bands that rotated around the sparse side rather than outflow boundaries.
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.p ... 1&loop=yes

[Stormcenter]

Great observation and I agree.


quote="PTrackerLA"]Almost looks like outflow boundaries shooting west towards Louisiana and also some southerly shear on the southern half of Gordon on visible. I also expected the LLC to appear much "tighter" than it is now. Add me to the not impressed camp as of midday Tuesday, we'll see what he looks like this evening.[/quote]

[Jag95]

I think you are correct.

quote="Frank P"]wondering if Gordon is no longer stacked, and that is the mid level going off to the north and the low level still moving NW... speculation on my part but he sure does not look good on the sat loops as he had earlier..mho

[/quote]

Just got on and have only looked at the radar, but it does seem to be moving north of the forecast unless that is only the mid-level circulation. Maybe a little too far out still to tell on the long-range I'm looking at though. Haven't seen a visible of the llc yet.

[bella_may]

Center continues to consolidate nicely. I still expect it to become a hurricane by 4 or 5 PM, as does the NHC.

[tropicwatch]

I think you are correct.

quote="Frank P"]wondering if Gordon is no longer stacked, and that is the mid level going off to the north and the low level still moving NW... speculation on my part but he sure does not look good on the sat loops as he had earlier..mho

[/quote]

I hate it when it does that, especially in radar range. Things start to get confusing.

[wx98]

Center continues to consolidate nicely. I still expect it to become a hurricane by 4 or 5 PM, as does the NHC.

I’m not gonna say it won’t, but I at least would be very surprised. I just haven’t seen anything from recon to suggest it’s getting close.

[plasticup]

wondering if Gordon is no longer stacked, and that is the mid level going off to the north and the low level still moving NW... speculation on my part but he sure does not look good on the sat loops as he had earlier..mho

We must be looking at different loops

How else do you explain the discrepancy that recon has found between flight-level winds and the low-level center? It is clearly not well stacked.

Now sure how satellite loops come into this.

[Airboy]

Is an eye just visible on IR sat, or is it just something else?

[wxman57]

Recon indicates 45 kts current intensity - and it SURE looks like it is tracking well east of the forecast, like toward Mobile Bay vs. MS. Of course, it could wobble back to the west again.