southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. The shower activity associated
with this low has increased a little during the past several hours
and the upper-level winds are gradually becoming more conducive for
development. A tropical depression could form by late this
weekend or early next week while the system moves slowly toward
the west-northwest at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.