ATL: FLORENCE - Models

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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1901 Postby SouthFLTropics » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:00 pm

At 90 hours it looks like the GFS through a wrinkle in with a thumb ridge extending down to the Bahamas. This may get interesting.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1902 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:00 pm

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Uh oh!
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1903 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:01 pm

Blown Away wrote: Ridge stronger through 84...


if gfs right it going due east plam beach but only one run and models want party with uk
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1904 Postby meriland29 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:02 pm

Notable strengthening in comparison to the same time last run...

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1905 Postby SouthFLTropics » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:03 pm

The ridge is much more South and west at 96 hours.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1906 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:04 pm

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00z GFS... Strongest ridging I've seen so far @96 hrs...
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1907 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:07 pm

Blown Away wrote: 00z GFS... Strongest ridging I've seen so far @96 hrs...


The trend here is the ridge expanding SW, this has South Carolina/north Georgia written all over it this run
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1908 Postby meriland29 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:07 pm

114hrs

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1909 Postby Blinhart » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:08 pm

Blown Away wrote: Uh oh!


Definitely giving this a Big Thumbs Down on this. With that ridge no way it makes it to the Carolina's will be much further South.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1910 Postby bamajammer4eva » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:09 pm

trend

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1911 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:09 pm

Slightly east but further south at 126
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1912 Postby meriland29 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:10 pm

120 hrs

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1913 Postby meriland29 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:11 pm

132

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Last edited by meriland29 on Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1914 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:11 pm

look all showing getting close to bahamas before going nw
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1915 Postby SFLcane » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:11 pm

Still south of the 18z so the trend continues
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1916 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:11 pm

Looking at things the GFS this run might be too slow with forward motion for its first 24 to 36 hrs looking at current movement
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1917 Postby meriland29 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:12 pm

wow CMC, harsh so far


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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1918 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:13 pm

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1919 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:13 pm

The ridge appears to be stronger, but how is this turning northwest??
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1920 Postby meriland29 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 11:14 pm

Yikes....


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