ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[FLpanhandle91]

Hot tower firing southwest of the center right now. Outer eye wall fully closed and immediately contracting. Looks to be deepening. I expect recon to find a strengthening storm.
She has slowed down right over the gulf stream and not quite in the shallow continental shelf waters just yet.

[Sanibel]

Is Florence making the WSW turn early according to Euro? Clouds tops are warm on AVN...

[shiny-pebble]

Looks like this will (is?) stall(ing?) much quicker..... Might be able to regain intensity but not too much....

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[LarryWx]

Per radar and satellites, I think she drifted almost straight north (NNW?) since ~3;30 PM though this may just be a wobble.

[supercane4867]

Trying to clear out an eye

[Bunkertor]

I saved pics and vids til yesterday afternoon. I can share and upload. Anyone interested ?

[Rail Dawg]

Still here across the river from Wilmington at the battleship USS North Carolina.

Definitely can see the first big feeder band to the east.

No rise of water yet but I expect that to change quickly.

Backup plan 1 of 5 are the bridges over the Cape Fear River. Can go up on the approaches should water rise fast.

Not concerned about 120 mph wind. Truck handles that fine.

[GCANE]

One big-ass tower just fired off on the SW quad.
Moving like a bat out of hell.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... roduct=vis

[supercane4867]

She's walking at human speed now.

...WATER LEVELS RISING ALONG PORTIONS OF COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA WHILE FLORENCE'S FORWARD MOTION SLOWS...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL EXPECTED...

4:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 13
Location: 33.7°N 76.1°W
Moving: WNW at 5 mph
Min pressure: 955 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph

[CrazyC83]

That 68 mph sustained wind in Cape Lookout means we almost have a hurricane impact in NC. Once we get there it will be the first time since 2003-05 that there were CONUS hurricanes three straight years.

[dukeblue219]

Recon is heading almost directly for that hot tower blowing up on the SW to S of the center. The plane may end up trailing it but that looks like a very bumpy ride into the eye.

[thatsboot3101]

107kts at 3700ft on radar just south of Ocracoke

[supercane4867]

[xironman]

Not the best day ever to fish the Bogue Inlet Pier http://www.ebmcdn.net/webcast/flash/bog ... frame.html

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/AlBoeNEWS/status/1040330726942502912

[MacTavish]

Wobble watching is going to be intense. I think because you have a pretty pronounced outer eyewall, the inner one may bounce around inside it. maybe doing little loops.

[Dave C]

That outer eyewall seems to be turning into a feeder band into the inner eyewall on its east side.

[Bunkertor]

Collection til ~~~~ 09/12/2018 3pm https://transfer.sh/vaSQt/Florence.zip

[artist]

[LarryWx]

Actual track since 11 AM EDT:
11 AM 33.4, 75.5
Noon 33.5, 75.7
1 PM 33.6 75.9
2 PM 33.6 76.0
3 PM 33.6 76.1
4 PM 33.7 76.1


NHC Projected for 8 PM: 33.9 76.6
NHC Projected for 8 AM: 34.2 77.8

It looks like at 8 PM it should be close to 33.9 N but 76.6 will be tough. So, it will most likely verify east of the 8 PM projection.