ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Light cell on radar showing NW to SE movement.
https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?pro ... X&loop=yes
https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?pro ... X&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
5500 CAPE air east of FL.
Winds are just on the verge of entraining this.
Any deepening of pressure and it will.
Could take off then.
Winds are just on the verge of entraining this.
Any deepening of pressure and it will.
Could take off then.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
It only needs convection now.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
So is the name Florence still on the table for this system if it gets named?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:So is the name Florence still on the table for this system if it gets named?
it should be but it is not.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:So is the name Florence still on the table for this system if it gets named?
Nope it will be Michael, Florence’s baby
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Small patch of low clouds near the cirrus band at the end of the latest NASA loop are moving S-SSE (held the mouse there to make sure to make sure it wasn't an illusion created by the high clouds) which while not seeming much, is the first hint that the center is closing off and that any center that's developing is likely near the SW edge of the convection.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
A little bit of irony here. Today we on the northern Outer Banks have received more rain from the bands of Florence 2 than we ever did from Florence 1. We here were probably the best place to be in NC from Florence 1. Little rain and no damage (erosion is another story though). Winds now are a steady 15 kts and building. I think the winds are from Florence 2 because I don’t think that the front is producing any gradient winds yet. Waves 7.6 ft.
http://www.ncaquariums.com/jennettes-pi ... conditions
http://www.ncaquariums.com/jennettes-pi ... conditions
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
I have the center at 32.60N 75.52W
from both Sat and radar.
from both Sat and radar.
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Tue Sep 25, 2018 2:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
The clouds on the SW of the CoC are accelerating into the center.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
OuterBanker wrote:A little bit of irony here. Today we on the northern Outer Banks have received more rain from the bands of Florence 2 than we ever did from Florence 1. We here were probably the best place to be in NC from Florence 1. Little rain and no damage (erosion is another story though). Winds now are a steady 15 kts and building. I think the winds are from Florence 2 because I don’t think that the front is producing any gradient winds yet. Waves 7.6 ft.
http://www.ncaquariums.com/jennettes-pi ... conditions
Same here in Virginia Beach. It rained harder today than it ever did during that event.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
So when is this supposed to hit shear again? I thought NHC said tonight. May be running out of time to fully develop.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
No way the plane gets there to gather enough obs before advisory time. Probably special if we see an upgrade?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
center now looks about 33.12N 75.9W
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:center now looks about 33.12N 75.9W
No lat/lon on here so I'm not sure if this lines up to that, but I've put it about here, with apparent low cloud/thunderstorm motion around it.
Edit: definitely looks closed from recon but winds to the west are likely too weak for NHC to initiate advisories.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Hammy wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:center now looks about 33.12N 75.9W
No lat/lon on here so I'm not sure if this lines up to that, but I've put it about here, with apparent low cloud/thunderstorm motion around it.
https://i.imgur.com/pAjCFJ1.png
Edit: definitely looks closed from recon but winds to the west are likely too weak for NHC to initiate advisories.
could also be multiple vorts still. really needs some deep convection to consolidate.
So roughly here.
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Tue Sep 25, 2018 4:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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