ATL: LESLIE - Models
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- cycloneye
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ATL: LESLIE - Models
Only the model runs here.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Oh boy,the merry-go round.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
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- Hurricane Andrew
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
cycloneye wrote:Wow,those are the GFS ensembles.
https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1043594113378074625
Did they digitalize a picture of a dude throwing spaghetti at a wall?
Cause that might work...
Yikes
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The Enthusiast
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Did someone say dizzy?
It's my namesake a dizzy fish. LOL
Sorry, I couldn't pass this one up.
It's my namesake a dizzy fish. LOL
Sorry, I couldn't pass this one up.
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- meriland29
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
DO NOT USE THIS MAP TO MAKE DECISIONS!
Go home map, you're drunk lol...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Hurricane Andrew wrote:cycloneye wrote:Wow,those are the GFS ensembles.
https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1043594113378074625
Did they digitalize a picture of a dude throwing spaghetti at a wall?
Cause that might work...
Yikes
Kinda looks like a Woodstock era hurricane track.... on LSD.
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- meriland29
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
All jokes aside, the model runs so far have been pretty consistent that it will be pulled up north eventually.. so probably not a landfall threat (?) (I say that with a bold question mark only cause the absolute complexity of the system and if that at all matters when the trough/ridge is much more predictable and telling of where it will go. )
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
The 12Z Euro actually threatens Bermuda with Leslie and directly affects them with the weaker left side as it passes only 200 or so miles ENE of them on 10/5 as she recurves and then moves N fwiw.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
And now for something even crazier, 1 of the 51 12Z EPS Leslie members skirts NC 10/7 and then goes up Cheasapeake Bay as a H 10/8!! A different member hits Cape Cod and Maine 10/7! Huge outliers though.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
LarryWx wrote:And now for something even crazier, 1 of the 51 12Z EPS Leslie members skirts NC 10/7 and then goes up Cheasapeake Bay as a H 10/8!! A different member hits Cape Cod and Maine 10/7! Huge outliers though.
About 5 members headed to New England
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- Kazmit
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
Most models are now taking this down to due west of Bermuda, and then have it doing a 180 and go back out to sea.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
What are the models saying about Leslie sticking around past 5-7 days?
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- Kazmit
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
12z GFS has this hitting Portugal as a borderline hurricane a week from now.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Hurricanehink
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/13L_gefs_18z.png - here is a link to the model run showing a landfall anywhere from Western Sahara to Portugal. Several runs suggest a recurve to the northwest, which suggests another storm might form and influence Leslie. It will depend how strong Leslie gets in a few days, but this storm has been tenacious so far.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Models
Does the OP GFS not understand the concept of water temperatures?
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