Texas Winter 2018-2019
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Headed there just before Christmas, love it!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Headed there just before Christmas, love it!
It's one of my favorite places on this planet. I love Colorado skiing, and love Keystone Resort.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Snowflake7
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Snowflake7 wrote:It feels AMAZING here is Euless Texas! 61 degrees.... who knew
for once its colder when you go outside the house...
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/stat ... 6958955520
Ben Noll had a great post this am comparing 2009 to 2018. Two things to note: It's MUCH warmer in the NPac. It's much cooler in the Indian Ocean.
To our mets out there, how will this make 2018 DIFFERENT than 2009. Will the IO cooling move the main forcing in the pacific westward? Will there be a persistent high in the NPac? Any thoughts on upcoming winter would be great.
Ben Noll had a great post this am comparing 2009 to 2018. Two things to note: It's MUCH warmer in the NPac. It's much cooler in the Indian Ocean.
To our mets out there, how will this make 2018 DIFFERENT than 2009. Will the IO cooling move the main forcing in the pacific westward? Will there be a persistent high in the NPac? Any thoughts on upcoming winter would be great.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1046010176958955520
Ben Noll had a great post this am comparing 2009 to 2018. Two things to note: It's MUCH warmer in the NPac. It's much cooler in the Indian Ocean.
To our mets out there, how will this make 2018 DIFFERENT than 2009. Will the IO cooling move the main forcing in the pacific westward? Will there be a persistent high in the NPac? Any thoughts on upcoming winter would be great.
Im curious about this as well.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1046010176958955520
Ben Noll had a great post this am comparing 2009 to 2018. Two things to note: It's MUCH warmer in the NPac. It's much cooler in the Indian Ocean.
To our mets out there, how will this make 2018 DIFFERENT than 2009. Will the IO cooling move the main forcing in the pacific westward? Will there be a persistent high in the NPac? Any thoughts on upcoming winter would be great.
From what I'm gathering from some of the pro mets I follow: Besides the ones already mentioned, the other important factor is obviously the MJO - When the Indian Ocean is cooler to the east than the west and the tropical Pacific is warmer, it tends to favor neutral or cold phase MJOs (Phases 8, 1, 2 & 3). There is less of a chance of the major warm phase MJOs (Phases 4, 5 & 6) getting as much amplitude.
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming!
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Portastorm wrote:It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming!
...or maybe the "warm rain capital of Texas"...
My cold-mongering coworker of 30 years is seeing the winter of 73 as an analog for this winter. I think there were 3-4 snow events on the Gulf Coast that winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
wxman57 wrote:Portastorm wrote:It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming!
...or maybe the "warm rain capital of Texas"...
My cold-mongering coworker of 30 years is seeing the winter of 73 as an analog for this winter. I think there were 3-4 snow events on the Gulf Coast that winter.
I hope not. I remember 73 vividly. Gulfport Ms. was paralyzed by an ice storm. My father couldn't go to work for three days. We lived on top of a hill. There were two ways out. Sliding into a major road wasn't an option. We the kids also missed a week of school. The first day was fun. The last 4 without electricity in the freezing cold wasn't.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Accuweather's Winter Forecast
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather- ... s/70006208
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather- ... s/70006208
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
wxman57 wrote:Portastorm wrote:It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming!
...or maybe the "warm rain capital of Texas"...
My cold-mongering coworker of 30 years is seeing the winter of 73 as an analog for this winter. I think there were 3-4 snow events on the Gulf Coast that winter.
1972-1973 or 1973-1974?
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
a foot of snow in Calgary the other day, bulld that snowpack...
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Ntxw wrote:wxman57 wrote:Portastorm wrote:It will be the kind of winter where Austin will reclaim it's title of Freezing Drizzle Capital of Texas ... I can already feel it coming!
...or maybe the "warm rain capital of Texas"...
My cold-mongering coworker of 30 years is seeing the winter of 73 as an analog for this winter. I think there were 3-4 snow events on the Gulf Coast that winter.
1972-1973 or 1973-1974?
I think '72-'73. Houston had 3 snow events this winter. All in '73. Most snow events for us . Curious to hear the details, but if you look at SST, i can see the comparisons.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Haris
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Haris wrote:[url]https://thumb.ibb.co/bAQpGz/Screen_Shot_2018_10_05_at_8_59_19_AM.png [/url]
POAMA model snowfall anomaly forecast for December 2018
I like to see just about everyone having confidence in a snowy winter this year. Makes me pumped!!
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Undergraduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma and Operator at the Oklahoma Mesonet.
All opinions independent of employers and the university.
All opinions independent of employers and the university.
Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Mark my words my friends the heat lovers better find somewhere else to stay this winter I see pattern change coming rapidly within the next 5-7 days sweeping across the SRN Plains could have a frost/frz by late in the weekend into early next week across portions of OK/TX Panhandles and potentially as far south as even Central OK (OKC METRO) By about next Monday AM... After that I see a gradual "step down" process into Winter in the coming weeks... Mid-November could turn active expect this to be a BUSY winter unlike the last several years in both OK & TX MULTIPLE SNOW/ICE storms a real possibility IMO with the way the cards are stacking up...
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
I'd agree about the active winter. El Nino, if not Super, almost always delivers ice and snow to the southern plains. The weak to moderate events are just about a lock for activity. It's no coincidence the snowiest winters for DFW generally all occur during weak or moderate El Nino.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
I so hope yall are right, so tired of this snowless crap
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