ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

130 KT FL winds!! I am completely in awe. I have not been speechless like this since tracking Patricia's historic RI a couple of years ago in the Eastern Pacific.

Historic tropical cyclone Michael and one I am so terrified for everyone dealing with this monster out in the Panhandle and Big Bend region. Godspeed!!!

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track up to 110 kts

AL, 14, 2018101000, , BEST, 0, 266N, 865W, 110, 950, HU

[La Sirena]

Ugh, just a horrible feeling all around with this going to surely come ashore at high intensity. Many 2005/Patricia/last-September flashbacks; didn't expect the US to be so hard hit this year. It's been a jaw dropping year for pretty much the whole NHem.

I am 86 miles N of PCB. I’m sickened for them. I’m a bit shocked for us. We’ve prepped. So many people didn’t leave this area....so many people evacuated to this area. Just...wow.

[Ken711]

This is quickly turning into the worst possible scenario for the FL Panhandle. This could easily be 155mph at peak considering the rapid increase in organization.

I hope that doesn't come to pass.

[Raebie]

https://media.giphy.com/media/3q1sIQlGE6BZPkOjae/giphy.gif

Good god.

[Taylormae]

Can his strengthening affect the turn at all?

[supercane4867]

130 KT FL winds!! I am completely in awe. I have not been speechless like this since tracking Patricia a couple of year ago in tge Eastern Pacific.

Historic tropical cyclone and one I am so terrified everyone dealing with this monster out in the Panhandle and Big Bend region. Godspeed!!!

Not downplaying this storm but I think I was more speechless when the 160kt SFMR came out from Irma

[Steve]

I haven’t been able to follow Michael as much as I usually like to. NE turn into the generally SW facing coast will reveal some new surge dynamics for the mid-Panhandle. Gonna be rough.

[Condor]

130KT FL level. THIS IS CAT4

Im new so easily confused how do you have a cat 4 with an open eye? is that even possible or is it just different indicators not lining up

I would not say the eye is open

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimtc/2018_14L/web/basicGifDisplay.html

[Abdullah]

Right on cue, raw T number has reached 7.0

[Blizzard96x]

https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1049810784136716288

[Hayabusa]

2018OCT10 000038 6.3 932.1 122.2 6.3 7.4 7.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF -23.81 -77.60 EYE -99 IR 47.2 26.63 86.55 ARCHER GOES16 33.6

[supercane4867]

2018OCT10 000038 6.3 932.1 122.2 6.3 7.4 7.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF -23.81 -77.60 EYE -99 IR 47.2 26.63 86.55 ARCHER GOES16 33.6

A raw T# of 7.4 is one of the highest observed values in GOM

[northjaxpro]

130 KT FL winds!! I am completely in awe. I have not been speechless like this since tracking Patricia a couple of year ago in tge Eastern Pacific.

Historic tropical cyclone and one I am so terrified everyone dealing with this monster out in the Panhandle and Big Bend region. Godspeed!!!

Not downplaying this storm but I think I was more speechless when the 160kt SFMR came out from Irma

Yeah I remembered that report. Insane indeed.from Irma last year at her peak.. But, you don't often see super intense tropical cyclones like Michael in the Northeast GOM very often that is for darn sure!

[Chris_in_Tampa]

951mb, 19 knots of surface wind

UZNT13 KWBC 100028
XXAA 60008 99267 70865 08166 99951 27832 15019 00951 ///// /////
92244 26032 18020 85989 23248 19516 88999 77999
31313 09608 80015
61616 NOAA2 1214A MICHAEL OB 11
62626 CENTER MBL WND 17520 AEV 33668 DLM WND 19017 950751 WL150 1
6021 078 REL 2668N08651W 001524 SPG 2671N08650W 002059 =
XXBB 60008 99267 70865 08166 00951 27832 11850 23248 22751 19040
21212 00951 15019 11941 16023 22930 16519 33915 19019 44868 19020
55850 19516 66818 21016 77794 19014 88766 21514 99751 21015
31313 09608 80015
61616 NOAA2 1214A MICHAEL OB 11
62626 CENTER MBL WND 17520 AEV 33668 DLM WND 19017 950751 WL150 1
6021 078 REL 2668N08651W 001524 SPG 2671N08650W 002059 =

[CrazyC83]

2018OCT10 000038 6.3 932.1 122.2 6.3 7.4 7.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF -23.81 -77.60 EYE -99 IR 47.2 26.63 86.55 ARCHER GOES16 33.6

A raw T# of 7.4 is one of the highest observed values in GOM

It may BE the highest. I can't remember even Katrina or Rita having such cold cloud tops (but they had much better defined eyes). Wilma was probably the last storm to have that (if they could read the mini-pinhole) but that was at a much lower latitude.

[NDG]

Incredible finding by the NOAA recon in the NE quadrant, 150 mph at flight level is mind boggling and to think it has another 12-18 hours or so to keep strengthening.

[ktulu909]

Explanation of the term "Raw T value" please?

[Abdullah]

Irma had days over the Atlantic. Michael had a day.

[cjrciadt]

2018OCT10 000038 6.3 932.1 122.2 6.3 7.4 7.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF -23.81 -77.60 EYE -99 IR 47.2 26.63 86.55 ARCHER GOES16 33.6

A raw T# of 7.4 is one of the highest observed values in GOM

Insanity!!!!!