ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[MGC]

The eye wall looks open to me on IR loop. A small slot of dry air is evident on the south part of the circulation. Other than that Michael has an outstanding satellite presentation. Glad I visited the PCB area this summer. Sadly it is going to get blasted tomorrow. Feel sorry for the people who decided to stay.....MGC

[PavelGaborik10]

Michael is going to have to sort out the southwest eyewall before this can explode... and hopefully it doesn't.

What are you talking about? This storm IS exploding, and has been for quite some time.

[artist]

Thank you for the information. You have somewhere I can go and read the actual reports from the recon?

Recon Thread Here: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=120033

Yeah not really much there

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/# ... 14AMICHAEL

[CryHavoc]

Do you think the NHC will upgrade him to a 4 in the next adv?

Too early to say. Pressure is still indicative of a max cat 3. Winds might be edging into Cat 4 though.

Calls for it to get to Cat 5 before midnight are pretty unreasonable, a lot of structure needs to evolve for that to occur.

[tolakram]

Thank you for the information. You have somewhere I can go and read the actual reports from the recon?

Recon Thread Here: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=120033

Yeah not really much there

Check out the TT page: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/ There is even a RAW data link if you can read the info.

[sbcc]

Thank you for the information. You have somewhere I can go and read the actual reports from the recon?

Recon Thread Here: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=120033

Yeah not really much there

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/

Updates every 10 minutes if there is new data.

[Blizzard96x]

Michael is going to have to sort out the southwest eyewall before this can explode... and hopefully it doesn't.

What are you talking about? This storm IS exploding, and has been for quite some time.

The way the south side of Michael looks, I doubt winds are Cat 4 criteria.

[StormPyrate]

South side seems to be dying down, shear or dry air?

[dhweather]

This is making me think I should have evaluated

There’s still time to leave and there are hotel rooms still available in Pensacola & Mobile. Be safe!

If you want to gamble, go to the Mississippi Gulf Coast and the hotel casinos. Do not gamble at home with your life !!!

[Condor]

Recon Thread Here: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=120033

Yeah not really much there

Check out the TT page: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/ There is even a RAW data link if you can read the info.

Yeah I look at the TT page for recon just got told on the last recon they said the SW eye wall was open. So I was wondering if there was somewhere to get this information? Ive seen snippets before of people posting almost a report of the data coming from the recon and would state the status of the eye wall.

[tolakram]

Michael is going to have to sort out the southwest eyewall before this can explode... and hopefully it doesn't.

What are you talking about? This storm IS exploding, and has been for quite some time.

The way the south side of Michael looks, I doubt winds are Cat 4 criteria.

Fortunately we don't have to guess since recon is in the storm.

[Sciencerocks]

South side seems to be dying down, shear or dry air?

shear is keeping the southwestern eyewall open.

[SunnyThoughts]

James Spann
25 mins ·
Facebook Creator
·
Satellite and reconnaissance data from Hurricane Hunters suggest Michael is at category four strength. This is an extremely dangerous, life threatening storm capable of catastrophic damage. If you have friends or loved ones in an evacuation zone in the Florida Panhandle, call them and tell them to get out NOW.

[PTrackerLA]

I know some friends that have chosen to ride Michael out in a 2 story condo right behind the "dune" in Pensacola Beach. I told them they would probably be okay if everything stays the same as of now but I would not take that chance. Even a 4 ft surge will likely wash over parts of the island. Michael is really concerning me with his convection tonight, this is not the north Gulf of Mexico hurricanes we are used to seeing...

[edu2703]

 https://twitter.com/bn9weather/status/1049830248093761536

[CrazyC83]

It's not too late to evacuate, but it will soon be. If you are hesitating, you really should leave now if you feel uncomfortable or have been ordered - you have only a few more hours.

[tolakram]

Yeah I look at the TT page for recon just got told on the last recon they said the SW eye wall was open. So I was wondering if there was somewhere to get this information? Ive seen snippets before of people posting almost a report of the data coming from the recon and would state the status of the eye wall.

Right, the vortex messages.

The link for Vortex Data Message is on this page: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/recon.php

[eastcoastFL]

Amazing how those storms are filling in to the east

[artist]

Yeah not really much there

Check out the TT page: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/ There is even a RAW data link if you can read the info.

Yeah I look at the TT page for recon just got told on the last recon they said the SW eye wall was open. So I was wondering if there was somewhere to get this information? Ive seen snippets before of people posting almost a report of the data coming from the recon and would state the status of the eye wall.

If the vortex is not posted in the recon thread, when it comes in you can find it here
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml

[PavelGaborik10]

Michael is going to have to sort out the southwest eyewall before this can explode... and hopefully it doesn't.

What are you talking about? This storm IS exploding, and has been for quite some time.

The way the south side of Michael looks, I doubt winds are Cat 4 criteria.

I didn't say they were, but this storm has been undergoing RI for days now. It's a mere 5 MPH away from being a category 4 at this time.