ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ozonepete]

SAVE THIS LINK

https://livestormchasing.com/map

Click on the map to find the storm chaser you want to watch.

Keeps coming back "bad gateway"???

Overloaded, keep trying. Worked for me, but then no chasers found.

I have it now and there's 5 or 6 chasers that have working video including Chalres Peek - TWC.

[Sanibel]

Right on the cusp of Cat 5. Completely speechless!

Unbelievable...Defying all odds and acting like an August Gulf monster...No negative Gulf effects what so ever... - Just when you think you've got hurricanes figured out they make you look foolish...I think that Adair guy is taking a foolish risk...

[HurricaneEnzo]

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1050049106662440962

Michael should top Andrew and Katrina if pressure keeps dropping like it has been.

[Maryellen46]

Thoughts go out to all affected.

[txwatcher91]

Radar showing 190mph winds 5-6k feet off the ground.

[supercane4867]

Extreme wind warning up from Panama City to Apalachicola


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Extreme Wind Warning
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1111 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a

* Extreme Wind Warning for...
Gulf County in the Panhandle of Florida...
Southern Bay County in the Panhandle of Florida...
Southwestern Franklin County in Big Bend of Florida...

* Until 215 PM EDT/115 PM CDT/.

* At 1109 AM EDT/1009 AM CDT/, National Weather Service Doppler
radar indicated extreme winds in excess of 130 mph, associated
with the eyewall of Hurricane Michael, were moving onshore. THIS
IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Treat these imminent extreme winds as if a tornado
was approaching and move immediately to the safe room in your
shelter. Take action now to protect your life!

[supercane4867]

[sponger]

Right on the cusp of Cat 5. Completely speechless!

Unbelievable...Defying all odds and acting like an August Gulf monster...No negative Gulf effects what so ever... - Just when you think you've got hurricanes figured out they make you look foolish...I think that Adair guy is taking a foolish risk...

Adair has relo'd to Port ST Joe, I believe thanks to our Rail Dawg. Hospital there is 25 feet above sea level. At the marina for now until surge moves in.

[rhwxgeek]

The models predicted this, unfortunately many figured it would weaken like all the others. I understand the sentiment but I think it's important to point out that this was predicted pretty well in advance.

I agree, it is pretty incredible how good of a job the models have done with this storm. Climowise I think many thought this would not end up being this strong, I mean look at all the records this storm is going to shatter. The one silver lining is that after Harvey and Florence this shouldn't be a major inland flooding event. The downside is that this is going to be a catastrophic wind event that the CONUS hasn't seen in a long long time.

[tolakram]

Right on the cusp of Cat 5. Completely speechless!

Unbelievable...Defying all odds and acting like an August Gulf monster...No negative Gulf effects what so ever... - Just when you think you've got hurricanes figured out they make you look foolish...I think that Adair guy is taking a foolish risk...

Why did you think there would be negative effects is the question. Heat and moisture over the entire SE US and August like temps, plus onshore wind behind Michael, not cool dry air coming from land. I have to say I was dumbfounded when I saw a couple of people posting this last night, and apparently not looking at the data. Cat 4 almost 5 ... not expected, I should add, but no weakening.

[cheezyWXguy]

Radar showing 190mph winds 5-6k feet off the ground.

I saw that too, actually caught one at 196mph a few minutes ago. The mesovorticies seem to be having quite an effect on windspeeds in the eyewall. Radar velocities show a reasonably sized area of 170-180mph winds, but theyll randomly spike to 190+ at times.

[caneman]

Looking more like a Port St. Joe landfall to me

For those who have never been to the “forgotten coast” area it is one of our favorite vacation spots. Appalach, Eastpoint, Carabelle. So sad for the area. It is a lovely area.

Sadly, I've never been there even though I'm just down the road near Clearwater Beach. I've heard great things. All that forested area I'm guessing will be destroyed. I remember seeing the swath of destruction from Charley

[SeaBrz_FL]

Keeps coming back "bad gateway"???

Overloaded, keep trying. Worked for me, but then no chasers found.

Mobile app is working fine.

Getting seasick watching Brett Adair @ Port St Joe

https://livestormchasing.com/stream/brett.adair

[KWT]

Mayor of Mexico Beach says roughly 280 people didnt evacuate...

Just madness, I know no one in their hearts thought it'd go 130kts, but even so they did know a probable major was coming...they rolled the dice..this time they loose.

Almost certain Andrew will be down to 5thmost intense, fair chance Katrina goes down to 4 as well...

[canetracker]

Jeff Piotrowski is live: https://www.pscp.tv/w/1YpJkLweZjPxj?q=jeff+piortrowski

[supercane4867]

 https://twitter.com/MarcWeinbergWX/status/1050049977744003072

[tronbunny]

This is a great station to monitor as we near official landfall
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8728690#obs

[caneman]

Right on the cusp of Cat 5. Completely speechless!

Unbelievable...Defying all odds and acting like an August Gulf monster...No negative Gulf effects what so ever... - Just when you think you've got hurricanes figured out they make you look foolish...I think that Adair guy is taking a foolish risk...

Why did you think there would be negative effects is the question. Heat and moisture over the entire SE US and August like temps, plus onshore wind behind Michael, not cool dry air coming from land. I have to say I was dumbfounded when I saw a couple of people posting this last night, and apparently not looking at the data. Cat 4 almost 5 ... not expected, I should add, but no weakening.

In fairness, it is common to see storms weaken as they get close to the coast and for a variety of reasons.

[chaser1]

Are any board members in Steinhatchee, FL ? We are heading up to Steinhatchee if we can get in, or else Suwanee, FL on Saturday morning to bring in relief and recovery supplies. A caravan of us. Took 4 tons to SC after Flo. Trying to get to surge impacted areas that likely wouldn't see much help from red cross or fema for a while. Driving up from Pinellas County. Seeking local contacts to facilitate a disbursement site in an impacted neighborhood.

What a cool concept! Makes sense too; small detached communities where significant impact may have occured but not primary enough for the larger focused efforts of the Red Cross or other Emerg. Response. I have no contacts there unfortunately. If I don't head up (or are unable) to Crawfordville to help friends, i'd be happy to lend a hand.

[wxman57]

I'm measuring a 1-hr movement toward 041 deg at 15 kts. That puts the center on the coast over Tyndall AFB south of East Bay around 12:30 CDT.

Looks like Port St. Joe to me. Recent turn N.E. or between there and Mexico Beach

10am-11am toward 032 deg at 16 kts. About 10 deg left of previous 1-hr. Recon says 120-125kt winds. Not a cat 5. Still aiming for Tyndall.