ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3521 Postby AFWeather » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:23 pm

121 kt on Tyndall, 139 mph. This is on runway 32, not the active sensor, so won't come out in a SPECI.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3522 Postby craptacular » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:23 pm

I think Adair is in the house on the north side of the highway here:
https://www.google.com/maps/@29.919818, ... 312!8i6656

Truck is (was) parked near where that white Chevy SUV(?) is in Streetview. Best I could tell from when you could still see the edge of the house and deck, and he was talking about the wall.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3523 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:23 pm

jdjaguar wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Incredible footage on Stormchasers coming from Adair...He's in the eyewall with condo tin roofs blowing down the road in front of his truck...Trees falling...I think he's going behind a building now...

Adair is in trouble


I’ve got tears in my eyes. He’s in real trouble. Just sickening.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3524 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 101714
AF301 1514A MICHAEL HDOB 25 20181010
170430 2943N 08540W 6974 02749 9578 +126 +125 271122 124 108 022 00
170500 2944N 08540W 6960 02736 9546 +130 +130 272124 129 115 028 03
170530 2945N 08540W 6954 02699 9517 +134 +134 277111 118 116 035 03
170600 2947N 08540W 7004 02583 9461 +141 +141 283117 123 138 041 03
170630 2948N 08540W 6991 02536 9392 +138 //// 280117 127 /// /// 05
170700 2949N 08540W 7116 02351 9315 +161 //// 287110 129 119 021 09
170730 2951N 08539W 6958 02511 9259 +169 +150 289077 099 /// /// 03
170800 2952N 08539W 6967 02480 9244 +157 +146 287052 065 /// /// 03
170830 2954N 08538W 6970 02451 9212 +173 +119 280031 045 038 001 03
170900 2956N 08537W 6979 02433 9196 +181 +108 258017 023 024 001 03
170930 2957N 08538W 6976 02430 9190 +184 +101 248005 014 023 000 00
171000 2959N 08539W 6971 02440 9202 +170 +123 079004 011 036 001 00
171030 3000N 08540W 6975 02450 9209 +179 +129 043029 039 052 004 03
171100 3002N 08540W 6950 02502 9225 +175 +133 058045 049 /// /// 03
171130 3002N 08538W 6978 02455 9220 +175 +132 090041 043 109 000 03
171200 3003N 08537W 6965 02471 9218 +174 +136 110050 052 110 000 03
171230 3003N 08535W 6982 02439 9207 +176 +138 120049 051 104 001 03
171300 3002N 08534W 6967 02447 9193 +184 +133 129043 047 099 000 03
171330 3001N 08532W 6970 02432 9176 +193 +127 147043 045 /// /// 03
171400 3000N 08531W 6967 02448 9179 +191 +128 164052 057 /// /// 03
$$

Smrf 138 knots
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3525 Postby FireRat » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

I really hope he got to safety somewhere!
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3526 Postby taveanator » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

If anyone can contact this guy: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rqAj_KF7CRc he's in the eye now and is kinda close to Brett's location.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3527 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

Raebie wrote:
Nasdaq wrote:adairs suburban is floating


Waves crashing over it now.


The storm surge will wipe everything out down there. Just absolutely devastating . i don't know how he is getting out of there. I pray he does.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3528 Postby StormPyrate » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

That video should be stored as an example of storm surge and played for anyone who thinks hanging around is a good idea. that was disturbing and appears now to be dead
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3529 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

Image

I still have Adair live ... sickening, scary. Waves crashing over car.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3530 Postby Raebie » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

Car about completely submerged.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3531 Postby RL3AO » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

Worse he went just east of the eye where the surge is highest.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3532 Postby NDG » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

Pray for Brett Adair!!!!
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3533 Postby FireRat » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:25 pm

Epic Landfall in progress guys!! Apalachicola is getting some serious surge at the moment too
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3534 Postby KWT » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:25 pm

138kts SMFR from recon just outside the eyewall, but maybe flagged... Plenty of realiable over 100kts for sure though...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3535 Postby ChucktownStormer » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:25 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
NDG wrote:
Jonny wrote:Only about 50% evacuated from zones A, B and C.

The 331 bridge is now closed and a curfew will be placed.


Crazy stubborn people. :double:


This is so sad that so many people did not evacuate. Unbelievable!!

Evacuation is expensive. When we evacuated for Matthew it cost us $1000 for travel, hotel and food for a family of 3 and the hotels gouging with pet fees. It ended up not causing much damage and we lost power for two days max. For Florence we spent another $700+ and nothing happened. We barely got any rain.

I make pretty decent money and have a healthy emergency fund, so it was merely an inconvenience. If you live on a fixed income or you're poor and don't have any family nearby, what are you going to do? I'm not saying that they shouldn't listen to authorities, but I'm just telling you that it's not that easy for everyone. If the government is telling people to get out, they need to do what California does for folks who evacuate wildfires and reimburse them full or partially for evacuation expenses. That would go a long way in ensuring that everyone pays heed to warnings.

This is coming from someone whose parents decided to ride out Florence because they didn't want to incur the expenses from evacuating and didn't want to be a "burden" on us even though we offered to cover their expenses. And everytime thy're "right" and nothing happens, it emboldens them for the next time an order is issued.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3536 Postby ozonepete » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:25 pm

Landfalling at Mexico Beach and/or slightly north of there at Allanton. Tyndall should get part of the eye as well.

Image
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3537 Postby dukeblue219 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:25 pm

It looks like the car is submerged, although I actually think it isn't. But it is spinning around....
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3538 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:26 pm

Landfall loop

Image


Image

Image
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3539 Postby xironman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:26 pm

Chasers make decisions. Sometimes it does not work out well. They know that.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3540 Postby KBBOCA » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:26 pm

Raebie wrote:Adair is a damned fool, but the footage is incredible. He'll be lucky not to be killed.


The Texas Storm Chasers too. Looked like they are in grave danger...
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