Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic (Is INVEST 96L)
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- StruThiO
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Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic (Is INVEST 96L)
http://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1061020667825410048
http://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1061027786238832640
http://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1061027786238832640
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- TheStormExpert
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Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
Well this came out of nowhere! Really was beginning to think we’re probably done for good.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.
- AnnularCane
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Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
I hadn't even thought about the tropics for a while, until earlier today when for some reason I started wondering if the Atlantic was done or not.
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- CyclonicFury
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Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
Rare for November.
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Development of this system is not expected during the next few days
due to unfavorable environmental conditions. However, some
subtropical or tropical development is possible around the middle
of next week when the system moves near or to the north of the
Greater Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Development of this system is not expected during the next few days
due to unfavorable environmental conditions. However, some
subtropical or tropical development is possible around the middle
of next week when the system moves near or to the north of the
Greater Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
GFS has been fairly persistent in this TW developing north of Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Development of this system is not expected during the next couple of
days due to unfavorable environmental conditions. However, some
subtropical or tropical development is possible around the middle
of next week when the system moves near or to the north of the
Greater Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Development of this system is not expected during the next couple of
days due to unfavorable environmental conditions. However, some
subtropical or tropical development is possible around the middle
of next week when the system moves near or to the north of the
Greater Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Significant development of this system is not expected during the
next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds. However, these
winds are forecast to lessen by Tuesday, and a tropical or
subtropical cyclone could form during the middle of next week while
the system moves near or north of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the
southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Blake
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Significant development of this system is not expected during the
next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds. However, these
winds are forecast to lessen by Tuesday, and a tropical or
subtropical cyclone could form during the middle of next week while
the system moves near or north of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the
southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Blake
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- dixiebreeze
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- Location: crystal river, fla.
Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
Oooh! Up to 40. Would love for the season to reach Patty, even Rafael.
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-
- S2K Supporter
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Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
dixiebreeze wrote:Models?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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-
- Category 5
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Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
hope don't get close south fl i have fair at my church next weekend no system please but what i seen look turn ne east of Bahama
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Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
floridasun78 wrote:hope don't get close south fl i have fair at my church next weekend no system please but what i seen look turn ne east of Bahama
I think it would be unusual for it to make it that far west, but as we've seen too often, anything can happen.
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- StruThiO
- Category 3
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- Joined: Fri Sep 15, 2017 5:51 am
- Location: Currently Portland, OR. Raised in Jax, FL.
Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness
and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not
expected during the next couple of days due to strong upper-level
winds. However, conditions are forecast to become a little more
conducive by Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could
form during the middle of next week while the system moves near or
north of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Avila
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness
and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not
expected during the next couple of days due to strong upper-level
winds. However, conditions are forecast to become a little more
conducive by Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could
form during the middle of next week while the system moves near or
north of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Avila
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- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Surface trough extending south from near Bermuda
18Z GFS is spinning up a 996 mb tropical cyclone north and northeast of Hispaniola within 78 hours moving w/nw, then becoming a Cat 1 tropical cyclone as it turns north well east of the Bahamas in 120 hours.
So, if you are to believe the GFS, it wants to gives us one more named storm for a farewell to the 2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season. We shall see how this plays out...
So, if you are to believe the GFS, it wants to gives us one more named storm for a farewell to the 2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season. We shall see how this plays out...
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: Surface trough extending south from near Bermuda
northjaxpro wrote:18Z GFS is spinning up a 996 mb tropical cyclone north and northeast of Hispaniola within 78 hours moving w/nw, then becoming a Cat 1 tropical cyclone as it turns north well east of the Bahamas in 120 hours.
So, if you are to believe the GFS, it wants to gives us one more named storm for a farewell to the 2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season. We shall see how this plays out...
Bring it on.
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- Nancy Smar
- Category 5
- Posts: 1081
- Age: 23
- Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:03 pm
Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles east of the Lesser has increased in organization
during the past several hours and satellite data indicate that the
wave is producing strong gusty winds. No significant development of
this system is anticipated during the next couple of days, but
conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive by
Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form during the
middle of next week while the system moves near or north of Puerto
Rico, Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
hundred miles east of the Lesser has increased in organization
during the past several hours and satellite data indicate that the
wave is producing strong gusty winds. No significant development of
this system is anticipated during the next couple of days, but
conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive by
Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form during the
middle of next week while the system moves near or north of Puerto
Rico, Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
0 likes
-
- Category 2
- Posts: 713
- Age: 30
- Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2010 3:05 pm
Re: Tropical wave in central tropical Atlantic
One last time...I need a storm to track...to take this home.
One more time...I promise after that...I''ll let you go.
Kate 2015 2.0 would be cute.
One more time...I promise after that...I''ll let you go.
Kate 2015 2.0 would be cute.
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Kay '22 Hilary '23
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