Texas Fall 2018

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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1621 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Nov 12, 2018 4:28 pm

Color me jealous Yukon. I hope to see some snow falling many times this winter. I'd be lying if I told you I haven't looked outside for a rogue snowflake today.
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1622 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Nov 12, 2018 4:30 pm

We’ve hit freezing at the house. Wind chill of 19. :cold:
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1623 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Nov 12, 2018 4:36 pm

At this point I’m more interested in what’s going to happen the first ten days in December. I’ve been hearing that it could be interesting during that timeframe. It doesn’t look like this cold snap is going to produce anything. We would need a coastal low or a low to come out of Mexico negatively tilted to produce anything here and I just don’t see that happening.
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1624 Postby SnowintheFalls » Mon Nov 12, 2018 4:51 pm

Seeing some flurries here in the Falls again.
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1625 Postby Brent » Mon Nov 12, 2018 4:51 pm

I'm ready for a real snowstorm now :cold:
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1626 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Nov 12, 2018 4:59 pm

mPing still showing reports of snow between WF and Abilene. Would not be surprised to see reports shift east from there, but just a novelty at best.
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1627 Postby srainhoutx » Mon Nov 12, 2018 5:07 pm

Light snow/sleet reported in San Angelo
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1628 Postby jaguars_22 » Mon Nov 12, 2018 5:31 pm

HEY! the HRRR does show a snow band/shower move over victoria toward houston!!! Could it be a little heavier??? Never know what comes out of mexico... suprise
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1629 Postby aggiecutter » Mon Nov 12, 2018 5:32 pm

Brent wrote:I'm ready for a real snowstorm now :cold:


I uploaded this video to You Tube in 2011. This happens every winter in Texarkana. It's a shame Dallas won't see any snow for the next 8 years.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OmR0TofUQ34
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1630 Postby Haris » Mon Nov 12, 2018 6:09 pm

RGEM snow showers san antonio and austin
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1631 Postby Cerlin » Mon Nov 12, 2018 6:27 pm

Haris wrote:RGEM snow showers san antonio and austin

Man that’d be so cool for them this early. (Also weather gods definitely hate DFW)
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1632 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Nov 12, 2018 7:36 pm

One o our local geniuses on this forum once told me that when the vort max lobe approaches near El paso, typically a gulf low will form on the coast. Will something like this happen?
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1633 Postby Brent » Mon Nov 12, 2018 7:53 pm

Cerlin wrote:
Haris wrote:RGEM snow showers san antonio and austin

Man that’d be so cool for them this early. (Also weather gods definitely hate DFW)


I may go over a ledge if we miss to the south again
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1634 Postby Ntxw » Mon Nov 12, 2018 7:55 pm

Beyond this cold snap still seeing signs of the famed "snow' weather pattern for the southern plains. Greenland block is coming with a split jet. The EPO region continues to deliver as guidance has gradually adjusted to seasonal trends there. I would be very surprised if there was not an event somewhere in Texas during the stretch at the end of November and first half of December.

What is about to happen in the high latitude looks beautiful and textbook blocking.
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1635 Postby Ntxw » Mon Nov 12, 2018 8:08 pm

To follow up with maps!

Image

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1636 Postby jaguars_22 » Mon Nov 12, 2018 8:27 pm

Does anyone think the hrrr is good?
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1637 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Nov 12, 2018 8:37 pm

jaguars_22 wrote:Does anyone think the hrrr is good?



It's usually a very good short term forecasting model. That little band of snow could easily disappear, but i remain cautiously optimistic.
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1638 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Nov 12, 2018 8:38 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1639 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Nov 12, 2018 8:47 pm

Earliest snow fall on record for Houston is Dec 4th 2009. 2nd earliest was last year on Dec 8th. 3rd earliest you ask? Dec 10th 2008. Never ever snowed in November.
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Re: Texas Fall 2018

#1640 Postby Haris » Mon Nov 12, 2018 9:12 pm

New NAM and HRRR cont suggest a snow band that move between Austin and HOuston AM Tuesday
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