2018 WPAC Season
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- vortextracker
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 113
- Joined: Wed Oct 31, 2018 2:12 am
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
nav
https://i.imgur.com/OS8gEDu.gif?1
https://imgur.com/OS8gEDu
https://i.imgur.com/NX9WnyW.png
https://imgur.com/NX9WnyW
pretty easy to see the area that is in question above the wwb in the kw/ga, for a seed,
if the model does verify.
..................................................................................................................
https://i.imgur.com/OS8gEDu.gif?1
https://imgur.com/OS8gEDu
https://i.imgur.com/NX9WnyW.png
https://imgur.com/NX9WnyW
pretty easy to see the area that is in question above the wwb in the kw/ga, for a seed,
if the model does verify.
..................................................................................................................
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Last 2 runs, 00Z and 06Z, GFS showing another potential TC threatening the Marianas?
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Lowering pressures around the timeframe.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS getting more bullish on this system. EURO also starting to latch onto it although weak in vorticity.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Much stronger on approach to Guam.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
As usual, GFS is on and off on it.
EURO continues to be silent.
EURO continues to be silent.
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- vortextracker
- Tropical Storm
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
NAVGEM, CMC also starting to pick up on this. They all agree that the recipient baby storm will emanate from a disturbance in the Central Pacific. Still a long way out.
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- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
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- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS's new peak for the forecasted system is now 966mb at 360 hours out.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS continues to be the most robust.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS seems to make the basin super busy with multiple systems developing along with this one. Of course. That's long range.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
ECMWF has nothing.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
The high windshear seems to be prohibiting anything from forming in the short-term.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
This is the recipient about to enter the dateline.
Last edited by euro6208 on Thu Dec 06, 2018 6:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
06Z GFS has some pretty significant deepening...934mb...with formation in just 150 hours. Big shift north of 00Z which had a track passing close to south of Guam.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
FV3 is also on board with development.
Either the GFS or the ECMWF is right on its forecast, even the latter's EPS has nothing or very weak.
Either the GFS or the ECMWF is right on its forecast, even the latter's EPS has nothing or very weak.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS trending stronger while EURO not budging.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS now starting to suggest a recurve well east of the Marianas.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
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- vortextracker
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 113
- Joined: Wed Oct 31, 2018 2:12 am
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
eps ens have been hinting @ something for a few runs.
https://imgur.com/lVWjYDW
Rain microwave east of Kiribati, likely the area the of model storm will come from if it verify s..
@156hrs
https://imgur.com/W4sB7UB
https://imgur.com/WCgdIGb
https://imgur.com/lVWjYDW
Rain microwave east of Kiribati, likely the area the of model storm will come from if it verify s..
@156hrs
https://imgur.com/W4sB7UB
https://imgur.com/WCgdIGb
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