SPAC: Invest 98P

[TorSkk]

98P INVEST 181204 1200 6.6S 163.1E SHEM 15 0

[TyphoonNara]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.5S 162.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5S 162.4E, APPROXIMATELY
370 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 070232Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A
SLIGHTLY ELONGATED AND FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
WITH CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. PARTIAL ASCAT
IMAGES FROM 062227Z AND 061044Z SHOW AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH
PRIMARILY 5-10 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER AND 20-25 KNOT WINDS
LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST UNDER THE CONVECTION. THE DISTURBANCE IS
CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA LOW (5-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 CELSIUS). THERE IS UPPER LEVEL
CONVERGENCE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OFFSET BY DIVERGENT
OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTHEAST. GLOBAL MODELS ARE DEPICTING HIGHER WINDS
(25-35 KNOTS) TO THE SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION THAT CURRENTLY ARE NOT
SHOWN TO WRAP IN AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY TRACKS TO THE WEST AFTER A
PERIOD OF QUASI-STATIONARY MOVEMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

[TyphoonNara]

JTWC keeps it at low chance of development in the next 24 hours.

[TyphoonNara]

Dissipated

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15.5S 162.4E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.