boca wrote:What is amazomg that we are in a drought and north and central Florida are water logged.
You had to have finally got some rain this morning, it was pouring when I was out in West Boca earlier.
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boca wrote:What is amazomg that we are in a drought and north and central Florida are water logged.
gatorcane wrote:Look at that trough for next weekend in today’s ECMWF:
https://i.postimg.cc/4N85T6Zb/ecmwf-z500a-Norm-us-7.png
SFLcane wrote:This next storm system for late next week looks it could provide a decent rain event across SFL we shall see but it looks potent.
SFLcane wrote:This next storm system for late next week looks it could provide a decent rain event across SFL we shall see but it looks potent.
...DISCUSSION...
Late-evening model guidance continues to suggest a substantial
deepening of an eastern US trough during the latter half of the
week. Significant height falls are forecast across the Gulf basin
Thursday as a strong 500mb speed max rotates into and through the
base of the trough before translating across the FL Peninsula. As a
result, high-PW air mass should advance northward ahead of this
feature and substantial instability appears likely to evolve across
the southern FL Peninsula prior to a strong cold frontal passage.
Given that strong shear will overspread this region, organized
severe convection appears possible, especially if buoyancy can
return to FL as currently forecast.
northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: This air mass coming in with this upcoming front late week is not from arctic origions. The arctic air remains bottled up in Siberia. The southern jet stream remains dominant aand is amplifying again with this next shortwave late week as the progressive El Nino-ish pattern continues to roll right along. Temps will drop to only be at or just slightly below average. Temps for Saturday morning here only forecast for now to drop into the upper 30s colder interior locales. The guidance is not forecasting a freeze here in North Florida as of this morning's guidance.
The preliminary guidance. is calling for upper 40s to near 50 most locales across Central Florida and 50s interior South Florida by Saturday morning.
Subtle changes to this as the week progresses, but I anticipate nothing drastic
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