2019 WPAC Season
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- TyphoonNara
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- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
2019 WPAC Season
As the 2019 Pacific Typhoon Seasons starts in less than 24 hours, it is about time to start this thread. Due to the impending El-Nino next year, it is quite possible that we will see a quite active year. What do you guys think?
Btw, these are the next 30 official names:
(Pabuk)
Wuti
Sepat
Mun
Danas
Nari
Wipha
Francisco
Lekima
Krosa
Bailu
Podul
Lingling
Kajiki
Faxai
Peipah
Tapah
Mitag
Hagibis
Neoguri
Bualoi
Matmo
Halong
Nakri
Fengshen
Kalmaegi
Fung-wong
Kammuri
Phanfone
Vongfong
Btw, these are the next 30 official names:
(Pabuk)
Wuti
Sepat
Mun
Danas
Nari
Wipha
Francisco
Lekima
Krosa
Bailu
Podul
Lingling
Kajiki
Faxai
Peipah
Tapah
Mitag
Hagibis
Neoguri
Bualoi
Matmo
Halong
Nakri
Fengshen
Kalmaegi
Fung-wong
Kammuri
Phanfone
Vongfong
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- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
It is also quite exciting to see whether 36W will become the last named storm of 2018 or the first named storm of 2019. Only time will tell.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Happy Typhoon New Year from where America's day begins!
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS is expecting 36W (future Pabuk) to bomb to 952mb in the Gulf of Thailand in the next 78 hours.
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- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS is also forecasting the formation of another tropical storm that may hit the Philippines 12 days out.
Meanwhile EURO doesn't develop any new systems after 36W.
Meanwhile EURO doesn't develop any new systems after 36W.
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- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Euro seems to develop something
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
With el nino poised to strengthen, I can see this season being very active. One telltale sign for nino is early season Cat 5's and development out further east near the dateline.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Does anyone know if Japan is still doing recon flights into typhoons this year?
How about Taiwan's DOTSTAR?
How about Taiwan's DOTSTAR?
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
euro6208 wrote:Does anyone know if Japan is still doing recon flights into typhoons this year?
How about Taiwan's DOTSTAR?
Even if they fly recon this year, I highly doubt that they will disclose extensive info about the flight data.
Take last year's Trami as an example, I think JMA only disclosed the minimum pressure of the storm to the public (915mb), other than that not much else.
In addition, the recon flights won't be as frequent as the NHC and it is highly improbable the potential recons will be able to measure a storm's peak strength.
However, I must say having few recon is still much better than none, isn't it?
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- xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Let's see if something actually develops within the first few weeks of the year. Pretty likely that the PH would be the target
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
This storm actually reminds me of 2015's Typhoon Mekkhala, if the models are right. Both are January storms that may struck the Philippines. Moreover, 90W may reach cat 1 status (at least according to GFS), which will also make it comparable in strength to Mekkhala. Will this be an ominous sign of an active season ahead?
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- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
WPAC off to a fast start. Looking like our 1st TC of the year will be here soon.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
As Pabuk makes landfall and exits the basin, another in the other side is developing.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Season has just started and already records getting broken with Pabuk.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- TyphoonNara
- Category 1
- Posts: 367
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
- Location: Hong Kong
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS now forecasts the formation of a new weak system after 01W. It can be just a phantom system though.
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