Texas Winter 2018-2019

Winter Weather Discussion

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foulbeast
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2661 Postby foulbeast » Wed Jan 09, 2019 10:39 am

wxman57 wrote:00Z Euro has cross-Polar flow setting up on the 13th. I need to get to work on my southern Canada wall...

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2662 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Jan 09, 2019 12:12 pm

12z GFS shows a colder pattern setting up in the longer range and, more importantly, it maintains the active wave train.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2663 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Jan 09, 2019 12:16 pm

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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2664 Postby harp » Wed Jan 09, 2019 12:35 pm

bubba hotep wrote:12z GFS shows a colder pattern setting up in the longer range and, more importantly, it maintains the active wave train.

Just watched JB's morning video. He's still very confident it's coming.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2665 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Jan 09, 2019 12:57 pm

harp wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:12z GFS shows a colder pattern setting up in the longer range and, more importantly, it maintains the active wave train.

Just watched JB's morning video. He's still very confident it's coming.

This second half of Jan fip to cold and wintery for the Southern Plains is and has been for a while a pretty safe bet. Now making bets on any given storm to produce is unreasonable, but I have high confidence that we will see winter storms between 1/20 & 3/10 over much of the Southern Plains.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2666 Postby harp » Wed Jan 09, 2019 1:00 pm

Ralph's Weather wrote:
harp wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:12z GFS shows a colder pattern setting up in the longer range and, more importantly, it maintains the active wave train.

Just watched JB's morning video. He's still very confident it's coming.

This second half of Jan fip to cold and wintery for the Southern Plains is and has been for a while a pretty safe bet. Now making bets on any given storm to produce is unreasonable, but I have high confidence that we will see winter storms between 1/20 & 3/10 over much of the Southern Plains.

Well, I'm in Louisiana, so I'm hoping for a miracle a little farther south. 8-)
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2667 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Jan 09, 2019 1:27 pm

harp wrote:
Ralph's Weather wrote:
harp wrote: Just watched JB's morning video. He's still very confident it's coming.

This second half of Jan fip to cold and wintery for the Southern Plains is and has been for a while a pretty safe bet. Now making bets on any given storm to produce is unreasonable, but I have high confidence that we will see winter storms between 1/20 & 3/10 over much of the Southern Plains.

Well, I'm in Louisiana, so I'm hoping for a miracle a little farther south. 8-)

I think you are close enough to see some.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2668 Postby sphelps8681 » Wed Jan 09, 2019 1:37 pm

Ralph's Weather wrote:
harp wrote:
Ralph's Weather wrote:This second half of Jan fip to cold and wintery for the Southern Plains is and has been for a while a pretty safe bet. Now making bets on any given storm to produce is unreasonable, but I have high confidence that we will see winter storms between 1/20 & 3/10 over much of the Southern Plains.

Well, I'm in Louisiana, so I'm hoping for a miracle a little farther south. 8-)

I think you are close enough to see some.


Will be up in Nacogdoches the week of 2/18 can you see what you can do. Would love to see snow up there. LOL.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2669 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Jan 09, 2019 2:24 pm

As long as it stays wet while turning colder, we are in business. Looking promising so far.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2670 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Jan 09, 2019 2:33 pm

I really hope there’s more snow over the northern and central plains than what’s being shown here

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2671 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Jan 09, 2019 2:36 pm

Cpv17 wrote:I really hope there’s more snow over the northern and central plains than what’s being shown here

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/fv3p/2019010906/fv3p_asnow_us_41.png

Agreed on that
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2672 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Jan 09, 2019 3:16 pm

Man. Most boring winter ever! Especially after i bought in and said it would be nuts. Still, alot of football left.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2673 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Jan 09, 2019 3:42 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Man. Most boring winter ever! Especially after i bought in and said it would be nuts. Still, alot of football left.


Ehhh, it’s not even quite halftime yet. Jan 20th through mid March has potential to be epic. We should start to see it pop up on the operationals within another week or so and then this place will erupt. Positive SOI values and the stalling of the MJO in phase 5 are to blame for the past month or so being warm. Now if we could get the MJO to stall out in phase 8 then that would be very nice!
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2674 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Wed Jan 09, 2019 3:46 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Man. Most boring winter ever! Especially after i bought in and said it would be nuts. Still, alot of football left.

I think that’s the worst part of it. It’s not just a boring, now warm winter that we’ve grown to expect in the last few years. This winter was hyped up to be huge by pretty much everyone. Granted, there still is quite a ways to go and a few of us have gotten in on some winter action, it still as of now leave most wondering what happened?
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2675 Postby orangeblood » Wed Jan 09, 2019 3:47 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Man. Most boring winter ever! Especially after i bought in and said it would be nuts. Still, alot of football left.


Patience...we aren't even to halftime yet! King Euro is opening the Arctic Gates.....

BTW, hard to draw a much better map for winter weather lovers....Eastern Pacific Rex Block, Greenland Block, Cross-Polar Flow. What' not to like ??!!

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2676 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Jan 09, 2019 4:04 pm

orangeblood wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Man. Most boring winter ever! Especially after i bought in and said it would be nuts. Still, alot of football left.


Patience...we aren't even to halftime yet! King Euro is opening the Arctic Gates.....

BTW, hard to draw a much better map for winter weather lovers....Eastern Pacific Rex Block, Greenland Block, Cross-Polar Flow. What' not to like ??!!

http://i68.tinypic.com/ibkkn5.jpg


Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2677 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Jan 09, 2019 4:12 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Man. Most boring winter ever! Especially after i bought in and said it would be nuts. Still, alot of football left.


Patience...we aren't even to halftime yet! King Euro is opening the Arctic Gates.....

BTW, hard to draw a much better map for winter weather lovers....Eastern Pacific Rex Block, Greenland Block, Cross-Polar Flow. What' not to like ??!!

http://i68.tinypic.com/ibkkn5.jpg


https://i.ibb.co/W3tVRBW/ibkkn5.jpg

https://media.giphy.com/media/xKy2w6LehxxHa/giphy.gif



Look at Europe .. that is one strong trough over them. Looks like they could get the worst of it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2678 Postby Quixotic » Wed Jan 09, 2019 4:23 pm

Look at that Aleutian Low....
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2679 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Jan 09, 2019 4:34 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
Patience...we aren't even to halftime yet! King Euro is opening the Arctic Gates.....

BTW, hard to draw a much better map for winter weather lovers....Eastern Pacific Rex Block, Greenland Block, Cross-Polar Flow. What' not to like ??!!

http://i68.tinypic.com/ibkkn5.jpg


https://i.ibb.co/W3tVRBW/ibkkn5.jpg

https://media.giphy.com/media/xKy2w6LehxxHa/giphy.gif



Look at Europe .. that is one strong trough over them. Looks like they could get the worst of it.


Yes strong low in Europe, but NAM gets the cross polar flow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#2680 Postby dhweather » Wed Jan 09, 2019 4:35 pm

All in a meager 360 hours. :lol:
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