bubba hotep wrote:One of the things to watch closely, is where does the high lat blocking setup? The Pacific evolution certainly favors split flow in the longer range but if we get a -EPO/+PNA then we will get stuck in the dreaded NW Flow and that is what the 00z GEFS is showing. Based on the Pacific, I think something like late Feb into early March '15 is in the cards but we need the ridging to setup with more of a relaxed PNA look. Also, we need the PVL to stay up in Canada, if it sets up shop farther south towards the GL then it will be very hard for systems to amp up as they come out of the SW. There are a lot of moving parts but I didn't really like the 00z GEFS look, dry cold sucks.
I'll take my chances with that set up any day....have to have Pacific energy come in from somewhere and through the Alaskan gates is ideal, cold enough S/W and if it digs we're in business