Texas Winter 2018-2019

[gatorcane]

My gosh, the 18z FV3 absolutely hammers the eastern one third of the nation with crazy cold. Not so much in Texas.

-40Fs in Eastern Canada with 20s deep down the Florida peninsula.

Good thing it is in fantasy land time range.

[bubba hotep]

00z ICON with snow across portions of Texas.

[Cerlin]

Only thing that makes me more upset than the snow this year has been the Cowboy’s play right now. At least they both have a good looking future?

[Brent]

well since the Cowboys lost the snow better happen

[gpsnowman]

well since the Cowboys lost the snow better happen

Seriously. It better snow all the way till baseball season. Oh well, we will be busy on the forum at least.

[gboudx]

I’m a Saints fan so I still have tomorrow. I know we can count on you Cowboy fans to root against your division rival right?

[Cerlin]

I’m a Saints fan so I still have tomorrow. I know we can count on you Cowboy fans to root against your division rival right?

You bet your a** I’m rooting against the Eagles.

[Texas Snow]

Football season is over now except or the commercials. Time to focus on real life, like playing outdoors in the Snow in Texas. Snow Season Starts Now. That’s all I’m rooting for now. LETS GO SNOW!!!

[BrokenGlass]

I’m a Saints fan so I still have tomorrow. I know we can count on you Cowboy fans to root against your division rival right?

As a Westlake High grad, I’m going to just enjoy the game.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

[Ralph's Weather]

Beware brutal cold modeling in positive enso years. It’ll get cold. Just not single digits record breaking cold.

We’ll see about that.

I see our seasonal low bottoming out in the teens, but many many nights in the 20s. Sub freezing highs will be common in Feb.

[TXdaddy217]

This portion of the Area Forecast Discussion from the San Angelo NWS looks promising in it's Long Term forecast.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1027 PM CST Sat Jan 12 2019

LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through Saturday)

Zonal flow to prevail across the Southern Plains through most of
the upcoming week. Weal shortwave will zip across South Texas on
Tuesday and may bring a few showers, but appears this will mainly
be south of West Central Texas. Gradual warming trend occur
through the week with highs climbing into the mid and upper 60s
for Wednesday-Friday.

Bigger changes for next weekend as a deeper trough moves into the
area. Very cold air in Alaska will make a southward plunge as
this upper trough passes, with the ECMWF showing an arctic cold
front plunging through the plains. GFS isn`t as cold, but
normally doesn`t handle this type of cold air very well anyway so
will lean towards a colder solution for next weekend. Will drop
highs into the 40s for most areas on Saturday with the raw data
suggesting it may be even colder. Once the forecast details start
to become a little more certain, temperatures may need to be
dropped even more.

[TXdaddy217]

I’m a Saints fan so I still have tomorrow. I know we can count on you Cowboy fans to root against your division rival right?

You bet your a** I’m rooting against the Eagles.

I am a NY Giants fan (born and lived in NY for 17 years). I don't want the Eagles to advance either.

[Brent]

Euro is further away with the snow on Saturday this run, arctic front is later also, still in the 60s in Dallas Saturday morning

Temps do crash later Saturday though but no snow, near 20 degrees Sunday morning

[Cpv17]

I see the new & old GFS both have the brunt of the cold going east of Texas for the entire run. +PNA

[La Breeze]

00z ICON with snow across portions of Texas.

Which portions?

[northjaxpro]

Yelp. Cpv17 I agree.

+ PNA - AO - NAO is what we will likely have for teleconnections by month's end.

This has been rare in recent years having all three of these indices aligning at the same time in winter across North America.

This very cold weather pattern will be completely locked into place for quite a prolonged period for the Eastern regions of this continent from the Pole south to all the way down through Florida peninsula inn which below to well below temps will be coming.

Well, in the case of what the FV3 runs are showing, just downright brutal cold. The temps shown on those runswould probably be the coldest anywhere on the earth I would assume.

[TheProfessor]

Yall... Yall. That 0z FV3... Nope Nope Nope Nope. Multiple instances of -25 degree temperatures here. That's beyond cold. I live in Ohio, not Siberia. If that comes true you might see me chilling down in Corpus those days.

[TheProfessor]

Here's the surface temps and windchill from the FV3. Crossing my fingers it's just hour 276 of the new GFS trying to get a rouse out of me lol.

[hriverajr]

If that came to pass... would put Texas winter (what we like) in major jeopardy. From personal experience....it's quiet stable and tends to empty central Western Canada of the coldest air

[Ntxw]

Don't panic y'all there is plenty of cold for everybody. I like the ensembles look. Generally speaking everyone along and east of the Rockies should get cold and maybe storms. The ENS keeps the height rises off the west coast which is good for Texas as well as some -NAO.

My concern going forward is suppression more than not cold enough.