Texas Winter 2018-2019

[wxman57]

12Z GFS sounding for 18Z next Monday in D-FW is back to a snow profile. No warm nose. This air may well be some of the coldest of the winter, but I wouldn't get my hopes up TOO high just yet if you're in the D=FW area. For Austin, GFS indicates quite a warm nose aloft with a sub-freezing layer around 1500 ft up (sleet). This front may be strong enough to top my wall along the Canadian border. I'll need to reinforce my Red River wall quickly...

[Agua]

Well I asked Larry Cosgrove if it was garden time in West Texas and I got a thumbs up. This winter will be known as the winter that wasn't in my area.

Every master gardener will tell you that planting anything not cold hardy before Easter is a big mistake.

Even us dumb@!# gardeners know that.

[gpsnowman]

Well I asked Larry Cosgrove if it was garden time in West Texas and I got a thumbs up. This winter will be known as the winter that wasn't in my area.

Every master gardener will tell you that planting anything not cold hardy before Easter is a big mistake.

Most years this would hold true but Easter is weird this year or late I should say. It lands on April 21. Much later than normal.

[rwfromkansas]

Easter is very late this year, so that doesn't make sense. But, at least wait until March 20....

Even in crappy winters we tend to get a final freeze.

I just hope if something does happen next Monday it's after school. Our last full week to work on the yearbook and a lot left to do. Can't afford a snow day that day since kids are pulled out to work. Tuesday is fine though! Bring it on Monday night.

[gpsnowman]

Will the Euro make us happy????

[South Texas Storms]

Will the Euro make us happy????

It will make you happy if you like cold rain

[gpsnowman]

Will the Euro make us happy????

It will make you happy if you like cold rain

Did Wxman pay you to say that?

[Brent]

Euro is a no go

Cold rain Sunday dry Monday Tuesday

[Haris]

[stormlover2013]

A week out we shall see, lets see what it's showing come saturday

[Cpv17]

The GFS looks like it has a stronger high pressure than the Euro.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

These storms in SE Tx are a surprise today. HRRR STILL cant see them. What happened? Warm front back up much further? Soundings for the NAM obviously arent accurate.

[TexasF6]

Snow in Austin on the FV3. Not much but a start!!!! Dallas too!!! "Tear down that wall Mr. Gorbachev 57" -Snownald Reagan

[wxman57]

Snow in Austin on the FV3. Not much but a start!!!! Dallas too!!! "Tear down that wall Mr. Gorbachev 57" -Snownald Reagan

FV3 is smoking crack. Heavy snow MS/AL coasts and to the beaches of the FL Panhandle? 9 inches near Pensacola? It's definitely a cold-mongering model, and it's likely wrong. My walls will not fail.

[Cpv17]

These storms in SE Tx are a surprise today. HRRR STILL cant see them. What happened? Warm front back up much further? Soundings for the NAM obviously arent accurate.

I’m wondering the same thing. Here where I am, just to the west of Wharton, we just missed out on a huge thunderstorm by a couple miles to my north. Lots of lightning and thunder and some hail too from what I’ve heard.

[stormlover2013]

never know weather is always full of surprises

[Cpv17]

never know weather is always full of surprises

Yep. Sometimes it rains more here when we have a 30% chance vs 100%.

[Portastorm]

These storms in SE Tx are a surprise today. HRRR STILL cant see them. What happened? Warm front back up much further? Soundings for the NAM obviously arent accurate.

Forecast discussions out of the NWS Houston/Galveston office suggest the action is a result of a short wave (upper level disturbance). Probably something coming out of Mexico which the models didn't have due to the lack of upper air data. We sometimes see that happen, especially in the winter months.

[Lagreeneyes03]

Please tell me this will be the last of the cold after this cold shot--

I have to be in San Antonio all next week for work-driving down Sunday afternoon. I should miss any frozen precip, right?

[TeamPlayersBlue]

These storms in SE Tx are a surprise today. HRRR STILL cant see them. What happened? Warm front back up much further? Soundings for the NAM obviously arent accurate.

Forecast discussions out of the NWS Houston/Galveston office suggest the action is a result of a short wave (upper level disturbance). Probably something coming out of Mexico which the models didn't have due to the lack of upper air data. We sometimes see that happen, especially in the winter months.

I suggested this very issue to Matt Lanza in a tweet earlier. El nino can bring surprises